Inflation is back, and it’s everywhere
Inflation is not just another news headline. You might have noticed it at the grocery store or when fueling your car, everyone has been confronted by the stark reality of higher and higher prices.
Read
Commodities
Consumers all over the world are continuing to grapple with higher prices for groceries, fuel, furniture, and other typical household expenditures.
Read
Exploring real assets and absolute return strategies in an inflationary regime
Read
Inflation is running significantly above central bank targets across the world.
2022
01
02
03
04
2022
Soaring shipping costs, recovering demand and global supply chain disruptions will keep inflation elevated in 2022.
This trend will join forces with the ongoing re-shoring wave, restrictive trade policies, and geopolitical tensions that may exacerbate price pressure.
Another inflation leg could come from higher producer prices passed through to consumers.
Supply-chain bottlenecks and PPI-CPI pass through
2022
Geopolitics fuel inflation through commodity prices
The Russia-Ukraine war is adding on top of sustained inflation pressures, contributing to sustained price trends, especially for commodities.
2022
Psychological dimension is starting to kick in
Inflation has a critical psychological dimension that depends on forces of memory, forgetfulness and policymaker’s behaviour.
While consumer demand and labour markets are strong – especially in the United States - investors should be aware of the wage inflation loop, which may become self-fulfilling.
Long run
Structural factors: the greenflation
Structural factors such as the energy transition will add to inflationary trends in the medium/long run.
This, coupled with the still limited production capacity of renewable energy and high demand for commodities needed in the transition, will push up the energy bill and boost green transition-related commodity prices.
Structural factors: the greenflation