©2020 Aon plc. All rights reserved.
aon.com Contact Us Legal Privacy Cookie Notice
Aon’s Risk Maps help businesses understand their exposure to challenging and misunderstood international risks.
Prolonged civil unrest and rising right-wing extremism look set to shape 2020
LISTEN TO THE WEBINAR
2020 in-depth themes
This year, our Risk Maps examine six key issues that are creating unique challenges for businesses operating globally.
Drones
Extreme Right
Riots
Sanctions
Expropriation
FX Risk
Learn more
Download the Report
The six geopolitical risks that will shape 2020
We look at the major themes of this year’s Risk Maps.
Aon’s 2020 Risk Maps
Aon’s Risk Maps are an in-depth look at the major terrorism, political violence and political risk exposures facing businesses that provide actionable insights for organisations.
Developed in partnership with Continuum Economics and The Risk Advisory Group – recognised experts in security and intelligence and economic research respectively – the interactive maps and analysis are an annual barometer of geopolitical trends.
Click below to view the 2020 maps.
Terrorism & POLITICAL VIOLENCE
Political Risk
Join our Risk Maps Webinar
Join experts from Aon, Continuum Economics and Risk Advisory as they discuss key themes and findings from this year’s map and discuss what this means for business. The webinar will include the opportunity to ask questions of our panel, providing unique insights into geopolitical risk in 2020 and beyond.
Aon plc (NYSE:AON) is a leading global professional services firm providing a broad range of risk, retirement and health solutions. Our 50,000 colleagues in 120 countries empower results for clients by using proprietary data and analytics to deliver insights that reduce volatility and improve performance.
Download the Report
Register Now
Access the Interactive Risk Maps
Terrorism & Political Violence
Riots, civil unrest and extreme right-wing terrorism punctuated 2019 and this trend looks set to continue in 2020.
Three in five countries face riots or civil commotion in 2020.
Nearly half of all countries face terrorism risk in 2020.
Two in five countries are exposed to war or insurrection in 2020.
Extreme right-wing terrorist attacks have increased in frequency for at least five consecutive years and have doubled globally in the last three years.
Islamic State and its affiliates mounted a total of 570 attacks globally in 2019, down from 810 the year before.
Economic stagnation and an eruption of socio-political anger has heightened unrest in traditionally stable economies.
Disruptive demonstrations against businesses over carbon emissions have increased in frequency and gained greater public support in almost every region.
Political Risk
Investor confidence is being eroded as emerging markets respond to populist trade policies with expropriation and capital controls.
Three major risks face emerging and frontier markets in 2020: politically motivated trade restrictions, government interference in business and currency risk.
In response to populist economic policies, emerging and frontier market governments are erecting barriers to investment and trade.
As emerging markets seek to intervene in business, government expropriation is taking more indirect forms.
Firms need to closely monitor the ease of doing business in emerging markets–with conditions deteriorating in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Bolivia and Russia.
Sanctions have proved effective where they encompass a large group of nations and if a global superpower leads the efforts.
Russia has weathered sanctions, and after putting its fiscal house in order, is sitting on more than USD 500 billion in FX reserves.
Download the report
Access the interactive maps
Download the Report
Download the Report
Access the Interactive Risk Maps
The Risk Advisory Group is a leading, independent global risk management consultancy that helps businesses grow whilst protecting their people, their assets and their brands. By providing facts, intelligence and analysis, The Risk Advisory Group helps its clients negotiate complex and uncertain environments to choose the right opportunities, in the right markets, with the right partners.
Continuum Economics is the international market-leading service for independent economic research powered by 4Cast and Roubini Global Economics. With its growing user base of 10,000 clients and a reputation for incisive analysis on every aspect of the market, it provides research that spans short-term market signals and long-term strategic themes.
2020 Risk Maps COVID-19 Webinar
Duration: 60 minutes
Our webinar discusses the long-term political, social and economic impact of COVID-19 and features insight from our Risk Maps partners, Continuum Economics and The Risk Advisory Group.
The webinar focuses on how COVID-19 will influence:
Civil unrest globally
Major drivers of the economy
Business operations and risk
Insurance capacity and appetite
LISTEN TO THE WEBINAR
COVID-19:
an altered landscape
The global pandemic will have a significant geopolitical impact.
Supply chain disruption
In the short-term:
Labour market dislocation
Reduced consumption
Slowdown in global trade, labour and capital flows
Jittery financial markets
Long-tail political instability
In the long-term:
Persistent state intervention
Backlash against government failings linked to COVID-19
Diminished public and private sector resources
Geopolitical impact of COVID-19
in partnership with:
In partnership with The Risk Advisory Group
In partnership with Continuum Economics
Click below to read more about each theme:
Beyond the typical risk of political instability, one of the characteristics of emerging markets is elevated currency risk.
Learn more
Political interference in emerging markets now takes indirect forms, such as increasing tax pressures, export restrictions, and more...
Learn more
Businesses need to identify potential vulnerabilities to sanctions regimes or controls and then quantify their exposure.
Learn more
Strikes and riots in 2019 caught many governments and businesses off-guard. Parts of Hong Kong, Paris and Santiago were shut down for large parts of the year.
Learn more
Rising incidents of right-wing terrorism targeting minority groups and multinational firms are creating new exposures...
Learn more
Events in Saudi Arabia and the UK highlight the potential for drone technology to be used to carry out attacks at arm’s length, or to disrupt flights or business.