BROAD SANCTION PACKAGE
POSSIBLE EFFECTS
Economic Value at Direct Risk of Disruption
Sanctions on a narrow group of CCP, government, and PLA officials
Economic countermeasures aimed at individuals and entities associated with CCP and PLA leadership
NARROW SANCTION PACKAGE
Negligible, given narrow target set and likely domestic scrutiny around their wealth
Limited financial impact.
Unlikely to be effective given targets’ alignment with leadership actions on Taiwan
Non-negligible and asymmetric financial impact on targets
Major economic impact on sanctioned individuals, but potentially limited impact on policy outcomes given waning political sway of business elites.
POSSIBLE EFFECTS
Tens of billions of dollars in exposed overseas assets
Economic Value at Direct Risk of Disruption
Sanctions on a broad group of officials and business elites
LOW
MEDIUM
HIGH
LOW
MEDIUM
HIGH
LOW
MEDIUM
HIGH
LOW
MEDIUM
HIGH