MAXIMALIST EXPORT CONTROLS
POSSIBLE EFFECTS
Economic Value at Direct Risk of Disruption
Imposition of blocking sanctions on Chinese firms in military-adjacent sectors
Economic countermeasures aimed at China's industrial sector
TARGETED SANCTIONS
G7 exports to China: $2.2 billion China exports to the G7: $1.2 billion Foreign direct investment: $6.9 billion Portfolio: $4.7 billion
Major, asymmetric impact on targeted Chinese sectors dependent on foreign technology Substantial impact on foreign companies exporting to Chinese customers in these sectors, or reliant on critical Chinese inputs
Crippling impact on global supply chains, from first and second order impacts from sanctions
G7 exports to China: $153 billion China exports to the G7: $225 billion FDI: $286 billion Portfolio: $197 billion
Export ban on a broad range of military-adjacent sectors
LOW
MEDIUM
HIGH
