First deep transition
Second deep transition?
5th surge Information and telecom (1971–?)
4th surge Oil and mass production (1910–1975)
3rd surge Steel, Electricity and Heavy Engineering (1875–1920)
Years
2050
2000
1950
1900
1850
1800
2nd surge Steam and Railways (1830–1870)
1st surge Industrial (1770–1830)
We are fast approaching the second deep transition – a re-ordering of the first deep transition to address the problems created by modernisation and industrialisation.
Source: Johan Schot & Laur Kanger, Deep transitions: Emergence, acceleration, stabilization and directionality, 2018.
1
2
3
4
5
6