Mobility 3.0

Users will consume services rather than own vehicles

Climate neutrality will be non-negotiable — from cradle to grave

Every journey will become a personalized experience

What happens when users will consume services rather than own vehicles?

Explore

By 2040 the population of Ireland is expected to grow by over 1m to 5.7m people. This growth will drive greater demand for mobility services as well as increasing the challenge to reduce the impact of these services on the environment In the third and final papers in our Mobility 2030 we examine: ‘’What happens to your business when users consume services rather than own vehicles?’’ We believe services delivery will be the primary competitive driver for the future of mobility. Software service platforms will drive a revolution across the entire mobility landscape disrupting incumbents in all sectors and creating new ecosystems in the future.

In 2030, 80% of survey respondents expected to be able to use a single app or platform for ALL mobility related services (billing, ordering, combining vehicle type e.g. car, bus, bike, train, plane.)

Desitnation 2030

Connected

Autonomous

Shared

Electric

How "CASE" is driving the future of Personal Mobility

By 2030, 50% of our survey respondents say they will sacrifice vehicle ownership to improve sustainability.

By 2030, 85% of survey respondents expect their mobility choices to benefit their health and security.

BearingPoint research says

Download now

100

120

Total investment by OEMs in software development will briefly exceed global automotive software sales in the coming years as OEMs ramp up their transformation to software companies

Global auto software* market (revenue) Vs OEM investment in software development ($ BN)

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Applications included in global software market definition: Safety Systems, ADAS, Autonomous Driving, HMI, Remote Monitoring, Body Control, V2X, Biometrics, Powertrain, Infotainment, Comms, Vehicle Management, Telematics, Connected Services.

Global automotive software market sales

OEM investment in software developement

Global automotive software market sales

OEM investment in software developement

100

120

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Total investment by OEMs in software development will briefly exceed global automotive software sales in the coming years as OEMs ramp up their transformation to software companies.

Global auto software* market (revenue) vs OEM investment in software development ($ bn)

50,00

100,00

150,00

200,000

250,000

300,000

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Global OEM Software Development FTEs

Global Software Development FTEs in automotive OEMs will more than double by 2030 as they transform themselves into technology and software businesses

50,00

100,00

150,00

200,000

250,000

300,000

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Global Software Development FTEs in automotive OEMs will more than double by 2030 as they transform themselves into technology and software businesses.

Global OEM Software Development FTEs

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2030

New EV registrations per thousand population (world) vs Petrol consumption tonnes (‘000) (world)

Global petrol consumption has been falling while new EV registrations are continuing to rise

New EV registrations per thousand (World population)

Petrol consumption World (tonnes)

2013

2015

2017

2019

2021

2023

2025

2028

2027

2029

200 000

400 000

600 000

800 000

1 000 000

1 200 000

New EV registrations per thousand (World population)

Petrol consumption World (tonnes)

200 000

400 000

600 000

800 000

1 000 000

1 200 000

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2027

2030

2013

2015

2017

2019

2021

2023

2025

2028

2029

New EV registrations per thousand population (world) vs Petrol consumption tonnes (‘000) (world)

Global petrol consumption has been falling while new EV registrations are continuing to rise

*Click to see more details

A connected car is a passenger vehicle with an embedded Internet connection, powered by WLAN or 5G (4G) connectivity.

Connected

What can it do?

Pay-per-use and personalized insurance Ability to interact with others (V2X communication) Smart parking, in-car-payments Predictive maintenance

• • • •

By 2030, the global automotive software and electronics market revenue is expected to reach $85 bn

A passenger vehicle with an embedded mobile connectivity

By 2030, 85% of respondents to our survey expect mobility choices to benefit personal health and security

A self driving vehicle without any direct involvement from the driver

What transformation is still needed?

Urban infrastructure Areas of utilization Regulations (Laws) e.g., who is responsible in case of an accident

• • •

An autonomous vehicle (Level 5) is a vehicle that can drive itself to a predefined destination without any direct involvement from the driver.

Autonomous

By 2030, 50% of respondents to our survey will sacrifice vehicle ownership to improve sustainability

Executing the reference to “renting” versus “ownership”

What shared services are possible?

Shared owning/ subscription-base-owning Rental/ Station-based & Free-floating Car-sharing/ Ride sharing Ride-Hailing/ Demand Responsive Transit Public Transport

• • • •

More and more consumers in established markets give preference to “renting” versus “ownership”.

Shared

By 2030, investment in sustainable power trains will reach approx. $1.2trn

Electric powered vehicles (EV) are lowering global carbon emissions

Where do we need to go?

CO2 Emissions from in path with net zero scenario EV battery costs as low as $150-$200 per kWh Multiplication of EV Charging stations Shared EV services

• • •

Electric vehicles (EV) are the key technology to decarbonize road transport, a sector that accounts for around one-sixth of global emissions.

Electric

Discover more in our full publication

Step 4

Increase your ability to forecast and optimize demand and supply of services

Step 5

Build sustainability objectives into every aspect of your business operations

Step 1

Define the future business and operating models and the roadmap for getting there

Step 2

Develop the target experiences and journeys for your customers in the ecosystem

Step 3

Understand and organize the data you need to improve your analysis and decision-making capability

What happens when users will consume services rather than own vehicles?

bearingpoint.com

Define the future business and operating models and the roadmap for getting there

step 1

Your transformation will be based on the specific needs each type of mobility ecosystem. Therefore, using your current cross-sector insights, expertise and knowledge you will need to create and implement roadmaps to transform and reinvent your organization.

Each organization must redefine their core capabilities, including business model, structure, processes, people, and systems.

For both commercial and public sector organisations, it will be a period of reinvention and reorientation, and building new capabilities and new structures.

You will need to implement a new business and operating model, whether you work for a GPS regulatory agency, UPT operator, AIM manufacturer, insurance provider, or oil and gas company.

The shift to service over hardware delivery will create new ecosystems. How each company or Public Sector agency is currently organized will determine their future success.

Enable anonymous drivers

What do you want to be famous for?

Digital twin

Enable modal split

Proving open reliable mobility data to drivers

Using data source to solve capacity issues

EU transfer data space

Platform to enhance customer contacts across value chain

Greenfield enabler of linking OEM, insurance and services provider

GAP insurance supplier at POS

Be the moderator

Event driven engine linked to segment plays

Can you be an enabler for?

Create end to end mobility platform

Provide vehicals for mobility fleets

Link road, rail, and other transport modes

Measure and predict client needs

Build model to define business issues

‘’Bring all ends together’’

Insurance API as a service

Can you provide expertise for?

Providing tools, assessing value, leading customer

Smart city- digital/connect services accelerator

Each player in the new mobility ecosystems must center their mobility offering around their customer needs

Develop integrated propositions (or platforms) across and between different groups of actors in the ecosystem (e.g. interactive templates and customer journey mapping accelerators)

You will need reorientate your business, services, innovation and offerings around the needs of your customers, putting them at the center, regardless of the mobility experiences they choose

Develop the target experiences and journeys for your customers in the ecosystem

step 2

The leading organisations will all offer customers and consumers clearly defined and differentiated value propositions, that integrate multiple services and are increasingly centred around their specific needs.

Who will be your customer in this new value chain? How can you position yourself as a B2B or B2C player?

Who's your customer in this radically new value chain?

What can you offer the customer?

End user customer journeys

Ultimately it's still about the the physical journey: ecosystems must consider the experience of getting to work, riding a bike, or traveling for pleasure

private vehicle experience

mass transit experience

For the end user, three customer journeys will converge:

personal wellbeing experience

Customer Driver

Public Sector Drivers

Customer Driver

Public Sector Drivers

Connection between mass transport and personalizedtransport

Private public carve out

Rethink aviation strategy post covid

Carbon pricing incentives

Finance public mobility for everyone

Enables toll collection or road pricing

Finance charging stations

Shift to rail

Fair and just mobility for all

Support resilience in travel

Single digital gateway SDG

O&G move from gas or petrol cards to multi-energy cards

External borders

Facilitate seamless travel user experience

Use data analytics and AI to improve strategic decisions, cost savings, and greater understanding of commercial forces.

Understand how to reconcile ecosystem-generated data with your own. As data grows exponentially, its incremental value becomes more challenging to manage, organize, monetize, interpret, and leverage.

Develop a data integration platform to ready the data for monetization.

Reevaluate your data analytics strategy, architecture, segmentation, and management to help organizations understand the quantity, quality, and availability of your data to maximize its value and return.

Understand and organize the data you need to improve your analysis and decision-making capability

step 3

The ability to access, own, leverage, protect and interpret data from multiple external and internal platforms, devices and systems will become one of the most critical success factors.

Use data analytics to empower productivity, business action, and people to adopt risk-mitigation planning (e.g. create a mapping tool to visualize mobility data across all actors and create a data orchestration platform).

Data culture

People involvement, upskilling and culture are fundamental to change the way business objectives are pursued in a data driven environment.

The ultimate data-driven business value creation is to enable higher revenues and/or lower operating costs. This requires smooth, effective and progressive change of operating models with the clear objective to make the most out of high data availability and innovative technology support:

Roles & responsibilities

To ensure efficient working processes it is mandatory to clearly define a RACI matrix dedicated to data management in order to follow on task owners.

Methodologies & processes

Define and/or update business processes to embrace the change triggered by data exploitation. This is the only way to guarantee coherence in the approach, effectiveness on the results and efficiency in the execution.

Data understanding & management

Working with data means, at the very atomic level, understanding its very meaning. Define proper data model, data glossary, data transformation are then the enablers for business value creation.

Data quality

Reliability and accuracy of information is a must have for any data centric initiative, so a structured approach to data quality is essential, in particular with an effective remediation process.

Data architecture

If data are at the very centre of new business processes, the underlying IT architecture must guarantee effective data management and enable data analytics.

Planning

Influence and steer demand

Increase your ability to forecast and optimize demand and supply of services

step 4

All organisations will need to combine the ability to plan for and align services to mobility demand with the agility to react quickly to unplanned events or outages with alternate services or capacities.

Build a network planning application to help organizations plan, forecast, and respond to events.

Employ infrastructure sensors to maximize use of road, rail, and public transport (e.ge. best time and place to repair).

Adopt digital twin technology to better understand how infrastructure, energy, and consumer good suppliers can respond to outages across the network (traffic jams, road work, rail repair, etc) and redirect supply to minimize impacts (e.g. event modeling).

Predictive AI tools and algorithms must provide always-on transport. As the mobility network becomes more integrated, with multiple operators and modes, unplanned changes in demand, events, or outages across the network will pose increasing challenges for transportation scheduling, safety, and security.

Forecast: reacting to events quickly and securely

Approve efficiency in building

Model road safety

Predict network outages

Understand your city mobility system through data

Design equal accessibility program

3P's of Future Mobility

Promotion

Promote innovation network

Market the customer journey

Incentive and or codify forms of mobility

Create the demand for mobility

Maximize productivity well-being or travel time

Platform to compare transportation emissions

Programs

Knowledge management

Transfer insights

Leverage knowledge from area to area

Regulate data to allow global reuse

Monetize the data

Data exchange between insurance and OEMs

Sustainable fuels

Thinking through sustainability infrastructure

Carbon footprint of travel plus sustainability and biodiversity calculators

Roadside infrastructure for alternative energy LCV lifecycle analysis

Address labor market shortages and social dialogue

Don’t leave your sustainability reputation to chance

Implement wider sustainability solutions to improve productivity and drive down reporting cost across the mobility value chain (e.g. A framework like ABACUS for regulatory reporting to national or EU authorities).

Implement tools to deliver real time auto tracking rather manually created reports to satisfy regulators who increasingly require end-to-end validation.

Consequently, all organizations must develop a reporting and compliance solution across the entire network.

Delivering sustainability reporting and measurement across the value chain will have increased importance in all decisions, from investment in infrastructure and demand management, to energy supply and consumer decisions with increased regulatory and compliance requirements at EU, national and local levels.

Build sustainability objectives into every aspect of your business operations

step 5

Consumers will increasingly make their mobility decisions based on environment impact – and will expect government policies, public services and all aspects of mobility services provision and operations to be transparent and to make their commitments real.

Sustainability drivers

Invest in a tool to create real time heat maps rather than continuing with manual reporting

Automate reporting of the complex supply chain and core business: from manufacture and logistics, to transportation and customer delivery

Help leadership respond to challenges with live information

Facilitate bottom-up, enterprise-wide, and automated emissions collection, including Scope 3 emissions from your upstream supply chain

Use insights from data to make decisions in support of your brand’s reputation on sustainability

Increase your sustainable tactical impact

Measure costs for CO2 certification

Don’t leave your sustainability reputation to chance

Sustainable reporting

Download now

Discover more useful data in our full whitepaper

Users will consume services rather than own vehicles

Climate neutrality will be non-negotiable — from cradle to grave

Every journey will become a personalized experience

Users will consume services rather than own vehicles

The Irish Government’s National Sustainable Mobility Policy sets out a strategic framework to 2030 for active travel (walking and cycling) and public transport journeys to help Ireland meet its climate obligations. It is accompanied by an action plan to 2025 which contains actions to improve and expand sustainable mobility options across the country by providing safe, green, accessible and efficient alternatives to car journeys. It also includes demand management and behavioural change measures to manage daily travel demand more efficiently and to reduce the journeys taken by private car.

The policy aims to deliver at least 500,000 additional daily active travel and public transport journeys by 2030 and a 10% reduction in the number of kilometres driven by fossil fuelled cars.