4
5
3
8
winners were among the three shortest-priced favourites
Bad for:
Good for:
Djakadam
Native River
Outlander
Cue Card
Sizing John
FOLLOW THE MONEY
Lower
3rd
2nd
1st
The longest-priced winner was 25/1 (Cool Dawn in 1998)
Since 1999 only one winner had a starting price longer than 8/1 (Lord Windermere in 2014).
of the last
20
16
2nd or 3rd
10
6
Age (years)
9
10
7
8
11
5
7
5
2
11
1
12
1
10
1
1
1st
6
Cue Card
Bad for:
Good for:
Djakadam
Outlander
Age is more than a number
90%
...of horses placing in the last 20 races were under 10
...of the last 20 winners have been aged 7-9
11
3
50
or
more
30
to
39
40
to
49
6
winners had over 40 days' rest
of the last
20
14
Cue Card
Good for:
Bad for:
Djakadam
Outlander
Days since previous race
REST IS BEST
None of the last 20 winners had less than a month's rest prior to the race
5
10
12
4
6
6
1
2
6
2nd or 3rd
1st
Rating range
180s
170s
160s
150s
140s
Good for:
Cue Card
Bad for:
Outlander
Sizing John
REMEMBER THE RATINGS
Since 1999, only two winners have been rated below 166 and over half have had a rating of 170 or over
8
24
13
3
49
entrants
158
entrants
Three words
Two words
One word
56
entrants
2nd or 3rd
1st
Bad for:
Good for:
WHAT'S in a name?
In the last 20 years, horses with single-word names place less frequently than those with two or three-word names.
CUP
GOLD
CHELTENHAM
How to choose
a winner
85%
6
3