Is it important to have a
League Two
League One
Championship
Premier League
away travel
good
START?
22.5%
11.4%
Defined as taking at least 10 points from the first 15 available
Points per game over the last 10 seasons
What’s the impact of a good start?
Which clubs typically start well?
PREMIER league
Man City Wolves Chelsea Cardiff Newcastle
First 5 games
Overall
Bournemouth Southampton Crystal Palace Liverpool Leicester
-24.8%
x12
11.0%
11.0%
7.1%
1.4%
-19.0%
-16.5%
-15.7%
-13.6%
2.24 1.72 2.22 1.80 1.42
2.01 1.55 2.00 1.68 1.40
% Change
First 5 games
Overall
1.18 1.24 1.06 1.50 1.46
1.57 1.53 1.27 1.78 1.69
… and which tend to start badly?
Points per game over the last 10 seasons
% Change
9
45.0%
18
Top 4
30.0%
12
Rest of top half
2.5%
1
Bottom half (not relegated)
What’s the impact of a bad start?
Defined as taking 5 or fewer points from the first 15 available
2.6%
2
Top 4
21.1%
16
Rest of top half
48.7%
37
Bottom half (not relegated)
27.6%
21
Relegated
Which goalscorers tend to get off the mark quickly?
Best goalscoring rates in the first five games of the last five seasons
Sergio Aguero Callum Wilson Marcus Rashford Olivier Giroud Romelu Lukaku
Man City Bournemouth Man Utd Chelsea Man Utd
15 15 4 8 14
Goals
Mins
1,556 1669 463 947 1,668
Mins per Goal
103 111 115 118 119
*Minimum 450 minutes played
good
START?
Is it important to have a
Winners
Which clubs typically start well?
Points per game over the last 10 seasons
… and which tend to start badly?
Points per game over the last 10 seasons
Goals
Mins
Mins per Goal
x12
QPR Aston Villa Hull West Brom Rotherham
Bolton Stoke Derby Reading Brentford
Britt Assombalonga Lewis Grabban Nathan Dyer Jackson Irvine James Vaughan
112 122 128 144 145
Middlesbrough Nott'm Forest Swansea Hull Wigan
First 5 games
% Change
% Change
Overall
21.8%
1.62 1.40 1.38 1.30 1.56
1.33 1.26 1.27 1.20 1.54
First 5 games
Overall
0.90 0.94 1.26 1.22 1.42
1.23 1.20 1.59 1.52 1.72
11.1%
8.7%
8.3%
1.3%
-26.8%
-21.7%
-20.8%
-19.7%
-17.4%
13 12 5 4 7
1,459 1,472 644 577 1,019
*Minimum 450 minutes played
Which goalscorers tend to get off the mark quickly?
Best goalscoring rates in the first five games of the last five seasons
championship
What’s the impact of a good start?
Defined as taking at least 10 points from the first 15 available
What’s the impact of a bad start?
Defined as taking 5 or fewer points from the first 15 available
29.2%
14
Automatic promotion
1.2%
1
Automatic promotion
22.0%
18
Relegated
20.8%
10
Playoffs
9.80%
8
Playoffs
14.6%
7
2.1%
1
Bottom half (not relegated)
43.9%
36
Bottom half (not relegated)
Relegated
33.3%
16
Rest of top half
23.2%
19
Rest of top half
Is it important to have a
good
START?
Which clubs typically start well?
Points per game over the last 10 seasons
… and which tend to start badly?
Which goalscorers tend to get off the mark quickly?
Points per game over the last 10 seasons
Best goalscoring rates in the first five games of the last five seasons
Goals
Mins
Mins per Goal
x12
Fleetwood Charlton Burton Blackpool Bradford
Rochdale Accrington Plymouth Southend Luton
Kieffer Moore James Collins Eoin Doyle Billy Kee Tom Bradshaw
109 137 143 144 164
Barnsley Luton Bradford Accrington Stanley Barnsley
First 5 games
% Change
% Change
Overall
18.8%
1.83 1.76 1.69 1.36 1.54
1.54 1.50 1.55 1.31 1.54
First 5 games
Overall
1.02 1.10 1.06 1.20 1.28
1.55 1.55 1.45 1.59 1.69
17.3%
9.0%
3.8%
0.0%
-34.2%
-29.0%
-26.9%
-24.5%
-24.3%
27.6%
5 11 6 8 11
548 1,508 861 1,152 1,804
What’s the impact of a good start?
Defined as taking at least 10 points from the first 15 available
What’s the impact of a bad start?
Defined as taking 5 or fewer points from the first 15 available
20.4%
10
Automatic promotion
2.1%
2
Automatic promotion
32.6%
18
Relegated
28.6%
14
Playoffs
3.2%
3
Playoffs
14.3%
7
2.0%
1
Bottom half (not relegated)
43.2%
41
Bottom half (not relegated)
Relegated
34.7%
17
Rest of top half
18.9%
18
Rest of top half
*Minimum 450 minutes played
LEAGUE ONE
Is it important to have a
good
START?
Which clubs typically start well?
Points per game over the last 10 seasons
… and which tend to start badly?
Which goalscorers tend to get off the mark quickly?
Best goalscoring rates in the first five games of the last five seasons
Points per game over the last 10 seasons
Goals
Mins
Mins per Goal
MK Dons Morecambe Crawley Cheltenham Mansfield
Crewe Grimsby Lincoln Macclesfield Northampton
Frank Nouble Reuben Reid Kevin Ellison Paul Mullin Kevin van Veen
111 143 161 167 174
*Minimum 450 minutes played
Colchester Forest Green Morecambe Tranmere Northampton
First 5 games
% Change
% Change
Overall
7.5%
1.72 1.42 1.49 1.36 1.52
1.60 1.34 1.41 1.29 1.48
First 5 games
Overall
0.94 0.85 1.00 0.85 1.08
1.31 1.18 1.37 1.15 1.43
6.0%
5.7%
5.4%
2.7%
-28.2%
-28.0%
-27.0%
-26.1%
-24.5%
5 10 10 5 4
556 1,435 1,614 835 696
What’s the impact of a good start?
Defined as taking at least 10 points from the first 15 available
What’s the impact of a bad start?
Defined as taking 5 or fewer points from the first 15 available
25.9%
14
Automatic promotion
2.5%
2
Automatic promotion
7.4%
6
Relegated
25.9%
14
Playoffs
7.4%
6
Playoffs
24.1%
13
0.0%
0
Bottom half (not relegated)
64.2%
53
Bottom half (not relegated)
Relegated
24.1%
13
Rest of top half
18.5%
15
Rest of top half
LEAGUE TWO
Is it important to have a
good
START?
x12
In the last 10 seasons of England's top four divisions…
Burnley Liverpool Tottenham
Does away travel make a difference
8%
52%
teams who travelled furthest
21%
everybody else
36%
?
Good start (10 points or more)
Bad start (5 points or less)
PREMIER
LEAGUE
933
Total away travel (miles)
Watford Wolverhampton Huddersfield
Least travel
Millwall Middlesbrough Preston
Hull Rotherham Stoke
Total away travel (miles)
Championship
Least travel
Most travel
Sunderland Portsmouth Fleetwood
Luton Rochdale Barnsley
Total away travel (miles)
League One
Least travel
Most travel
Exeter Carlisle Northampton
Cambridge Utd Macclesfield Lincoln City
Total away travel (miles)
League Two
Least travel
912
832
333
315
146
380
334
236
955
888
837
1,435
987
960
256
200
165
321
277
203
Most travel
1,142
998
863
Most travel
...the 25 teams who travelled furthest in their first 5 games made less good starts and more bad starts than everybody else
