When do transfers usually happen?
Which clubs are most active as deadline day approaches?
What is the impact of making late signings?
in the
How important is
transfer
timing
Premier League?
How much money
will be spent in total?
10
Premier League
Major European league*
EFL or lower
Other overseas league
Overall
The earlier deadline was introduced last year and immediately reversed a rising trend
in the percentage of money spent on
deadline day … which almost halved
How much money is spent close to deadline day?
+32.4%
2017/18
Within 1-2 weeks
2014/15
Major European league*
The average cost of a deal rises by 23% in the final week of the transfer window
Timing of transfer
13.3%
£274m
£89m/
£829m
As of Monday 29th July there are more days to go until the window closes.
Over the last decade, around a quarter of the cash spent on summer signings changes hands in the final week of the window, with over half of it on deadline day itself
8.2%
11.4%
13.1%
£1,060m
transfers
2015/16
No matter where players are signed from, it’s likelier that they’ll cost at least £10m when they move in the final week of the summer transfer window
22.7%
32.3%
6.0%
17.5%
20.3%
Seven-figure transfer
deals are also more likely
-3.7%
2.9
9.7
5.3
6.9
6.4
Premier League
14.8%
11.4%
Final week
5.0%
x4
Usually by this stage, of all the money spent by Premier League clubs has yet to change hands
+79.5%
9.0%
10.7%
13.3%
24.8%
14.8%
Between 1st July and last 4 weeks
9.0%
Within 3-4 weeks
When do
2
£
happen?
£98m/
£855m
6.9%
8
6
Final week
2018/19
This means that we can expect an additional to be spent - including
on deadline day itself - for a total of
in total.
£154m/
£1,155m
% of spend
usually
EFL or lower
How much does it cost
you if you leave it late?
Within 1 week of deadline day
2016/17
Earlier in window
5.2
12.8
5.6
6.6
7.8
What effect does an earlier deadline have?
Selling league
On the 1st of July
£139m
10.7%
26.6%
Within 2-3 weeks
£114m
£1,268m
On deadline day
£211m/
£1,422m
30.3%
£154m/
£1,155m
4
£89m/
£829m
£114m/
£1,268m
Overall
+23.0%
11.6%
Selling league
£98m/
£855m
£211m/
£1,422m
Clubs actually spent less on deadline day than in 2013/14 (£114m vs. £127m) despite overall spending doubling from £634m to £1,268m
Other overseas league
Change
+5.0%
* La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga or Ligue 1
23.1%
42.0%
17.8%
20.0%
26.6%
Earlier
£274m
Everton
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Leicester
Bournemouth
Tottenham
Watford
Aston Villa
Burnley
Arsenal
Chelsea
West Ham
Southampton
Man City
Man Utd
Liverpool
Norwich
Wolves
Newcastle
£38.7m
6.6%
13.6%
8.3%
29.9%
£49.1m
10.4%
5.3%
3
Which clubs have made the most money on deadline day?
1.1%
12.6%
17.2%
Which clubs have recruited the most EFL talent?
15.2%
£35.6m
18.5%
Crystal Palace
Leicester
Tottenham
Everton
Aston Villa
Burnley
Arsenal
Chelsea
Southampton
Brighton
Man Utd
Liverpool
Watford
West Ham
Bournemouth
Man City
Newcastle
Wolves
Norwich
16.3%
9.8%
£44.7m
6.1%
Percentage of signings made by current Premier League clubs on deadline day during the last 10 summer transfer windows
Excludes transfers completed when clubs were
outside the Premier League
3
6
£34.9m
Liverpool
Everton
Arsenal
Tottenham
Man City
Leicester
Chelsea
Man Utd
West Ham
Watford
1.7%
£19.9m
Percentage of money spent by current Premier League clubs on deadline day during the last 10 summer transfer windows
22.4%
Income £m
3.5%
23.0%
13.8%
6.6%
6
10.2%
16.9%
most
active
deadline
day?
0.0%
Which clubs have been the
19.8%
18.0%
19.5%
10
3.3%
on
£50.9m
£33.4m
6.2%
12.1%
31.4%
11.1%
4
15.6%
8.8%
8
20.8%
4.5%
2.2%
Combined income from players sold on deadline day
25.2%
x15
21.6%
3
Players sold
3
£8.0m
£12.0m
8
On deadline day
37.5%
During the rest of July
Does it matter when you sign players in different positions?
Those aged 26 or older have been almost twice as likely to record a double-digit goal tally in their first season after joining in the last week of the summer transfer window
Earlier
66.7%
61.8%
43.8%
40.5%
28.3%
20.6%
+8.9%
… and of being an ever-present
Centre back
Forward
Full back
Central midfield
Goalkeeper
Winger
+8.3%
The later you join, the smaller your chances of being a first-team regular
-7.6%
During August
What is the
6
25 or under
71.4%
25.0%
5 to 9 goals
-13.0%
+33.4%
Position
Signings made in the last week of the window who played at least half of their new club’s Premier League minutes in their first season
Position
14.3%
Excludes players who didn’t feature in the league during their first season
Other
Buying a proven Premier League player can make a big difference
Percentage of new signings who played at least 75% of Premier League minutes in their first season, after joining:
Difference
Goalkeeper
Centre back
Full back
Central midfield
Winger
Forward
Excludes players who didn’t feature in the league during their first season
On July 1st
During August before deadline day
x16
During the rest of July
+2.6%
18.4%
11.7%
late signings?
+21.0%
69.2%
40.7%
68.0%
45.5%
66.7%
21.7%
of making
22.3%
+11.3%
Defensive players signed late in the window have a better chance of becoming a first team regular … but it’s the other way around for attackers
Final week
Late moves can impact younger forwards
impact
x4
On July 1st
37.5%
14
0
There have been 20 summer signings who have gone on to play every single minute for their new club in the last decade … and none of them signed in August
-17.1%
Percentage of signings who played at least half of their new club’s Premier League minutes in their first season
-8.0%
13.2%
Forwards are particularly vulnerable to the perils of ‘panic buying’ - only around one in five signed in the final week of the summer window played at least half of the Premier League minutes available in their first season
Premier League
Difference
0 to 4 goals
14.3%
45.7%
53.5%
41.2%
48.1%
36.2%
37.6%
Apart from wingers and goalkeepers, players signed in the final week of the summer transfer window are more likely to become an immediate first-team regular if they join from another Premier League club
26.3%
7.3%
56.7%
36.6%
66.7%
34.8%
+42.9%
0.0%
Bought from ...
10+ goals
26 or older
