November 29, 2021

Futureproofing Essential Work

What’s Challenging about Essential Work?

Four Key Questions

Nursing and residential care

Agriculture

Over 50 per cent of nursing homes experienced critical labour shortages in essential roles in 2020.

Human factors

• Fear of what the clean economy means for the individual worker,

• Uncertainty around job quality and security in new fields • Misalignment with values that are potentially averse to addressing climate change • Identity issues that may prevent someone from leaving the only job or town

Major Issues

Filling essential jobs

Overqualification

Over-representation

Permanent residents and naturalized citizens are over-represented in many essential sectors compared with immigrants in the overall workforce.

45 per cent of labourers in food and beverage processing are immigrants. 30 per cent of nurse aides, orderlies, and patient service associates are immigrants. Newcomers represent a significant proportion of Personal Support Workers (PSWs) in Canada’s care sector. PSWs were significantly more likely to have contracted COVID-19 compared to doctors and nurses.

Labour shortages

While COVID-19 shrunk labour demand in some sectors, employers felt labour shortages in others more acutely.

Take a closer look at our research in immigration, automation, and the future of the Canadian workplace.

as well as fear of starting over

they’ve known

How vulnerable are Canada’s essential sectors to automation, migration flows, and worldwide health crises?

The pandemic has put the spotlight on the importance of workforce planning. Insights and lessons learned from COVID-19 could help employers to better prepare for the next disruption.

What Is Essential Work?

There’s no single definition. But broadly, it’s

Public Safety Canada has a list of essential sectors and occupations to help government bodies and employers navigate the pandemic.

work that is instrumental to

meeting the basic needs of society

, like healthcare services, food

manufacturing, and energy and utilities.

Labour continuity

Essential sectors faced continuity challenges in accessing labour, with significant disruptions in migration flows and increasing pressure on the existing workforce to deliver goods and services in the pandemic context.

Barriers for workers

Many essential workers face multiple barriers in the labour market due to sexism, racism, xenophobia, and other factors—and the pandemic exacerbated them.

Employment precarity

Migrant workers and temporary residents fill key labour gaps on farms. Yet farmworkers with temporary visas face significant vulnerabilities around visa status and quality of life.

Healthcare stress and burnout

Healthcare workers are facing significant mental health and well-being challenges.

The Conference Board of Canada’s knowledge areas worked together to answer four questions around futureproofing the essential workforce:

Will essential sectors and occupations face more job vacancies and skills shortages in the short term?

What role do immigrants play in essential sectors—and what role will they hold in the future?

How will automation impact essential occupations?

How can employers attract—and keep—essential workers?

Supply, Demand, and COVID-19

How has the pandemic changed worker supply and demand in essential sectors? Here are some examples.

Logistics/delivery

Surveys conducted by The Conference Board of Canada recently revealed that over 40 per cent of agriculture employers were unable to employ all the workers they needed in 2020.

Over two-thirds of trucking and logistics employers were not able to fill all the driver positions they needed over the past year.

According to our projections, this will be particularly noticeable for:

• Transport truck drivers • Nurse aides, orderlies, and patient services associates • General farm workers

Since the number of jobs shrunk in the Canadian economy during 2020—and labour demand subsequently rebounded in the short term—essential job vacancies in 2021–22 are expected to be higher than the pre-pandemic period.

However, in the years leading up to 2026, essential vacancies will level off—partly due to immigration.

Essential occupations in Canada are often difficult, low-paying, and without benefits.

Immigrants in Essential Work

This discourages local workforces from seeking jobs in these industries.

Who are employers relying on to close this gap? Immigrants, newcomers, and migrant workers.

• • • •

How does overqualification impact labour shortages?

Many immigrants have bachelor’s degrees but work in jobs that don’t require that level of education. This is common for immigrants in essential work. It lowers job satisfaction, which leads to more resignations and higher turnover. It limits immigrant earnings—and subsequently, immigrants’ economic contributions.

• • •

How can immigrant and migrant workers find fulfilling jobs in Canada?

Canada’s immigration system should remain responsive to labour market demand. Workers with different skill levels need pathways to become permanent residents. Employers must address bias and discrimination in recruitment and other HR practices.

• • •

The Risky Business of Automation

occupations in Canada are at major risk of automation.

• Policymakers

Next Steps

People in these jobs have few or no options to switch to lower-risk ones without significant retraining.

These are called

HRLM Jobs at a Glance

• About 3.5 million, or 1 in 5 Canadian employees, work in these roles. • Among Canadians, equity-seeking groups are over-represented in many HRLM roles. • Newcomers are also concentrated in HRLM roles. • Both these groups will likely be disproportionately impacted by automation.

Some essential jobs that have played a key role during the pandemic are high-risk, low-mobility.

Essential Occupations and HRLM: What’s the Overlap?

General farm workers

Industrial butchers and meat cutters, poultry preparers, and related workers

There are also essential jobs that are not high-risk, low-mobility—in other words, not as vulnerable to automation.

must craft strategies and responses that tackle the job

displacement that risk workers face from automation and technological change.

essential workers affected by automation.

will need to be part of reskilling and upskilling solutions for

• Employers

• Employers and government

and benefits in essential jobs, with the goal of boosting attraction and retention. This would help prepare essential sectors for future crises.

need to collaborate to improve compensation

• Employers and government

can also help expand access to mental health

resources and supports.

Which is Which?

Harvesting labourers

Fish and seafood plant workers

Labourers in fish and seafood processing

Labourers in food and beverage processing

Licensed practical nurses

Nurse aides, orderlies, and patient service associates

Greenhouse and nursery workers

Process control and machine operators in food and beverage processing

Registered nurses and registered psychiatric nurses

Transport truck drivers

Not vulnerable to automation

Vulnerable to automation

Not vulnerable to automation

Vulnerable to automation

Not vulnerable to automation

Vulnerable to automation

high-risk, low mobility (HRLM) occupations.

We expect vacancies in these essential sectors to persist. This will hamper future growth.

Vacancy Projections for Select Essential Occupations

(number of vacancies)

f = forecast Note: Job titles are from the National Occupation Classification (NOC) database. Source: The Conference Board of Canada.

Working Through COVID-19: The Next Normal (Data Briefing)

Valued Workers, Valuable Work: The Current and Future Role of (Im)migrant Talent (Impact Paper)

Responding to Automation: How adaptable is Canada’s labour market? (Issue Briefing)