Kennedy / Johnson
Coolidge
Hoover
FDR — 1st
FDR — 2nd
FDR — 3rd
FDR / Truman
Ike — 1st
Truman
Ike — 2nd
Johnson
Nixon
Nixon / Ford
Carter
Reagan — 1st
Reagan — 2nd
Bush
Clinton — 1st
Clinton — 2nd
Bush, G.W. — 1st
Bush, G.W. — 2nd
Obama — 2nd
Obama — 1st
Trump
Biden
1925
1929
1933
1937
1941
1945
1949
1957
1961
1965
1969
1973
1977
1981
1985
1989
1993
1997
2001
2005
2009
2013
2017
2021
29.5%
-8.9%
52.9%
-11.8%
36.5%
18.1%
-1.1%
-10.9%
26.8%
12.4%
-8.5%
-14.8%
-7.4%
-5.1%
31.6%
31.7%
10.1%
33.4%
4.9%
26.5%
32.4%
21.8%
28.7%
-35.3%
-11.9%
1926
1930
1934
1938
1942
1946
1950
1954
1958
1962
1966
1970
1974
1978
1982
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
2022
2018
11.1%
-25.3%
-2.3%
33.2%
21.1%
-8.2%
30.6%
52.4%
43.3%
-8.8%
-10.1%
4.0%
-26.5%
6.4%
21.5%
18.6%
-3.1%
1.3%
28.6%
-22.1%
15.8%
15.1%
13.7%
-4.4%
-18.1%
1927
1931
1935
1939
1943
1947
1951
1955
1959
1963
1967
1971
1975
1979
1983
1987
1991
1995
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
2023
37.1%
-43.9%
47.2%
-0.9%
25.8%
5.2%
24.6%
31.4%
11.9%
22.7%
23.9%
14.3%
37.3%
18.4%
22.5%
5.2%
30.5%
37.6%
21.0%
28.7%
5.5%
2.1%
1.4%
31.5%
1928
1932
1936
1940
1944
1948
1952
1956
1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
2020
2024
43.3%
-8.9%
32.8%
-10.1%
19.7%
5.1%
18.5%
6.6%
0.5%
16.4%
11.0%
18.9%
23.7%
32.3%
6.2%
16.6%
7.6%
23.0%
-9.1%
10.9%
-37.0%
16.0%
12.0%
18.4%
1953
Election Year
Third Year
Second Year
Inaugural Year
President
60.0%
26.5%
11.3%
60.0%
21.1%
7.5%
91.7%
21.1%
18.4%
83.3%
17.0%
11.4%
Source: Global Financial Data, as of 1/11/2023. The S&P 500 Total Return Index is based upon GFD calculations of total returns before 1971. These are estimates by GFD to calculate the values of the S&P Composite before 1971 and are not official values. GFD used data from the Cowles Commission and from S&P itself to calculate total returns for the S&P Composite using the S&P Composite Price Index and dividend yields through 1970, official monthly numbers from 1971 to 1987 and official daily data from 1988 on.
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Percent Positive
Average Positive Return
Average Return