2023
RISK OUTLOOK
Discover the full predictions
Download our full 2023 Risk Outlook Report:
Click on the puzzle pieces to reveal
Intelligence
1
HSE managers reported their organisation's decision making most affected by disinformation in the last 12 months
Set your organisation up for success by ensuring you have access to timely, accurate, trusted, actionable - the power of intelligence in decision making
Base: C-Suite/Board (208), Operations (134), Health, Safety & Environment (200), Risk Management (125), Security (173)
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“Access to trusted apolitical information helps organisations understand what’s evolving, how it might change over time, knowing when it has changed and knowing what to do about it.”
Sally Llewellyn, Global Security Director, Information & Analysis, International SOS
Health, Safety & Environment
Operations
Security
C-Suite/Board
Risk Management
38%
37%
35%
33%
32%
2
Geopolitics
Adjusting to perma-crisis: Geopolitical shifts, socio-economic challenges and increasing polarisation
Concerns about the impacts of geopolitics on everything from workforce risk management to business traveller productivity in the next 12 months:
"It can feel like you're constantly responding to crises, which is not a robust way to run a business. So being able to be resilient to crises and make decisions ...
"It can feel like you're constantly responding to crises, which is not a robust way to run a business. So being able to be resilient to crises and make decisions about what is genuinely a crisis issue comes back to good planning; clarity on risk tolerance and exposure; and, empowering and supporting decision makers in a crisis process."
Travellers
Domestic employees
43% Security Threats 42% Geopolitical threats 35% Transport concerns 34% Natural disasters 33% Civil unrest 31% Wars 26% Country risk rating
48% Cost of living pressures 29% Natural disasters 24% Security threats 22% Transport concerns 21% Cyber attacks 18% Civil unrest
3
Travel
Plan for the unplannable - travellers want more support
"Travel is returning, but with more caution and scrutiny. Trip approval from a business as well as a health and safety perspective will become the norm."
Dr Myles Druckman, Senior Vice President & Global Medical Director, International SOS
International travellers need more support
2.1x
83%
International traveller cases per month 2022 vs 2019
Volume of international trips vs pre-COVID
AVG pre-COVID Intl. Trav. Cases
1.02M
2.9K
1.5K
0.4K
0.37M
0.03M
5.4K
3.1K
0.50M
5.5K
0.51M
0.88M
0.82M
4.9K
Assistance to International Travellers, International Travelling Trend
4
Health
Climate change and other forces are increasing health risks with wide ranging impacts.
To what extent are organisations factoring climate change into health and security plans?
To a great extent
To some extent
Hardly at all
Not at all
15%
43%
22%
"Whilst Health is often considered within the Environmental, Social and Governance framework, public health experts argue that a greater alignment is needed on wellbeing and global health equity if we are to lessen the impacts."
"Whilst Health is often considered within the Environmental, Social and Governance framework ...
5
Mental Health
Workforce wellbeing, the happy at work equation (A+B+C)-D.
WELLBEING = (A+B+C)-D
WHO: Every US$1 spent, the return on investment will be over US$4.
"It is vital however that organisations invest in the right support and interventions which will have the greatest impact on employee outcomes and mental health."
Dr Rachel Lewis, Managing Partner at Affinity Health at Work
A
B
C
D
A is autonomy meaning providing flexibility and choice to employees
B is belonging meaning fostering connection and valued relationships at work
C is competence meaning providing opportunities for skill, knowledge and career development
D are demands; the aspects of work that act as stressors, sapping energy
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The happy at work equation (A+B+C)-D. A new era for mental health at work.
What is most likely to negatively impact mental health and productivity in the next 12 months?
Remote workers
24%
30%
29%
48%
39%
Cost of living pressures
Natural disasters (including extreme weather events)
Security threats (including protests, violence, terrorism)
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Travel disruptions
Concern around geopolitical threats
Travel bans to specific countries
Concern around COVID-19
Concern around security threats
Stay the same
Decrease
25%
61%
59%
26%
56%
31%
53%
52%
Top rated factors expected to decrease employee appetite to travel:
Survey Respondents
Research Pillars
Workforce Resilience Council Views
Business Resilience Trends Survey (1200 participants)
COVID-19 Impact Scales
Location Medical & Security Risk Ratings
On-the-ground Health & Security Intelligence
