THE HEALTH FRONT
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Countries are fragmenting internally, too, and this will happen more in 2025, as acute social and political issues make it more complicated for organisations to reduce and avoid risks for their local employees.
ANXIETY
INFECTION
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
CLIMATE CHANGE
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The seemingly unpredictable and uncontrollable nature of global events is a major factor contributing to our anxiety and depression. From epidemics, natural disasters, extreme weather and climate change to conflict, geopolitical events and domestic politics, the world no longer conforms to the norms we grew up with.
of organisations rate political stress or anxiety as a leading concern.
65%
INFECTION
How likely, if at all, do you think it is that the following issues will have a significant impact on your business and/or your people in the next 12 months?
55
KNOWN EXISTING INFECTIOUS DISEASES
A NEW INFECTIOUS DISEASE
HEALTH IMPACTS OF NATURAL DISASTERS
CHRONIC NON-COMMUNICABLE DISEASES
AIR
POLLUTION
INADEQUATE HEALTHCARE
FOOD AND WATER SCARCITY
43
53
44
50
49
45
52
43
45
38
60
27
71
Not very or not likely at all
Very or fairly likely
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
The increasingly rapid advances in science and technology offer optimism that we can find solutions to many of the risks we face.
The ability to sequence genetic material is faster, more compact and more affordable than ever before.
Sequencing a full human genome itself is an amazing feat that was a dream 40 years ago, took over a decade to realise, but can be now achieved in a matter of hours.
CLIMATE CHANGE
Climate change is an enduring threat we highlighted in our 2024 Risk Outlook Report, and the outlook remains grim if meaningful progress is not made.
Among the top 30 most published alert themes by International SOS over the past 12 months, 12 of 30 are climate-related, accounting for approximately 40%. Of these, eight alert themes are directly related to weather change, and four have content themes strongly related to weather change. (i.e., possibly caused by weather change)
ANXIETY
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AMPLIFIERS
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Conflict, connections and confusion amplify the friction, uncertainty, chaos and danger of A Fragmenting World.
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There is conflict between and within countries for influence, resources and opportunity.
Dave Komendat, a senior risk advisor speaks of:
A surveyed board member in Saudi Arabia says that:
A cloud of uncertainty right now.
Regional Conflicts that escalate quickly [are] putting pressure on the business to continue to operate safely or remove the in country and/or affected staff.
New markets, trading
patterns and relationships are
forming and will do so more in 2025.
27%
of participants in the research reveal their organisations have grappled with the disruptive effects of misinformation, while 18% have been challenged by disinformation.
CONFLICT
CONFUSION
CONNECTION
SIGNALS IN THE NOISE
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In 2025 organisations will be more vulnerable in this fragmenting world and the second and third order effects of seemingly esoteric, distant or unrelated phenomena will directly affect organisations.
IMPLICATIONS
75%
of respondents say ‘our people have higher expectations about Duty of Care than ever before’
Companies have the responsibility to validate information and resources before they come to conclusions or jump to action plans that might not really address what is truly happening.
- Rich Davis, Chief Security Officer for a major US Airline on 9/11
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HUMAN IN THE LOOP
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The most resilient organisations in 2025 during 'A Fragmenting World' will be those which use a joined-up risk management capability with three key characteristics: 1) the right information is surfaced for the user’s specific needs; 2) risk manager productivity is enhanced by a unified and flexible platform; and 3) resources are consolidated to manage the investment.
of respondents who use AI tools to monitor or respond to risk still have human support to analyse the output.
81%
Do you use AI tools to monitor or respond to risk?
No
Yes
Prefer not to say
Don't know
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