The key to successful investing isn’t predicting the future, it’s learning from the past and understanding the present. We present seven time-tested strategies for guiding portfolios towards tomorrow’s goals.
Investors should start early, invest with discipline and have a plan for their future.
People who are 65 today have a good chance of living to 80 or 90. But studies reveal many of us have not saved enough for our retirement years.
The probability of one member of a 65-year old couple living at least another 25 years
And saving more for it
%
51
Plan on living a long time
1
Inflation eats away at your purchasing power
The purchasing power of cash left on the sidelines, or the amount of goods that your money can buy, could decrease by more than half over a 40-year time horizon if inflation is 2% per year.
A risk-averse saver who decides to keep their savings in cash will no longer earn enough interest to beat inflation at today’s low interest rates.
Cash is rarely king
2
Accumulated wealth from €5.000 invested annually growing at 5% a year
The power of compounding is so great that delaying investing by even just a few years, or choosing not to re-invest income, can make an enormous difference to your eventual returns.
Compounding is what happens when you earn returns not only on your initial investment, but also on any accumulated gains from prior years, allowing you to accelerate capital growth over time.
Compounding works miracles
Start early, and re-invest income
3
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results
Historical risk vs. return
Therefore, if you want to target a higher level of return, you have to be willing, and able, to tolerate larger swings in the value of your investments along the way.
The strongest-performing investments since the early 2000s have tended to be those whose prices have been most volatile. Equities, for example have suffered some sharp swings in value, but they have delivered relatively strong annual returns compared to cash left in the bank.
Be realistic about your objectives and what you can achieve
Returns and risks generally go hand in hand
4
%
75
of the last 40 years ended in positive returns for European stocks
Despite suffering intra-year declines every calendar year since 1986, the equity market still recovered to deliver positive returns over two thirds of the time.
Plan on riding out volatile market periods. While the market’s ups and downs are hard to predict, sharp declines are a fact of life and should be expected.
Keep your head when all about you are losing theirs
Volatility is normal
6
5
While markets can always have a bad day, week, month or even a bad year, history suggests investors are much less likely to suffer losses over longer periods. It’s important to keep a long-term perspective.
Selling after the market has experienced a large fall is normally the wrong strategy as investors can lock in losses and miss out on the subsequent recovery.
Staying invested matters
Timing the market is difficult
Throughout history, a diversified portfolio of stocks, bonds and other asset classes has helped to limit sharp swings in returns.
Despite a tumultuous ride for investors over the past 10 years, our analysis shows that a diversified portfolio has provided a much smoother ride than investing in stocks alone.
Don’t put all your eggs in one basket
7
Diversification works
Dive deeper into the data
Download the Principles for successful long-term investing
EXPLORE FULL GUIDE
TO THE MARKETS
DIVE DEEPER INTO
THE DATA.
STAYING INVESTED MATTERS
7
Good things come to those who wait.
While markets can always have a bad day or even year, history suggests investors are less likely to suffer losses over longer periods.
DIVERSIFICATION WORKS
6
Time and again, diversification serves its purpose.
In the last 15 years, the world endured multiple natural disasters and geopolitical conflicts and two major market downturns.
Through it all, a diversified portfolio of stocks, bonds and other uncorrelated asset classes proved itself a winner.
Annual return
on a well-diversified portfolio, over the past 15 years.
5
VOLATILITY IS NORMAL; DON’T LET IT DERAIL YOU
Seeing through the noise.
Plan on riding out volatile market periods. Pullbacks hapeen.
Markets suffered double-digit declines in 21 of the last 38 years, yet still ended those years with positive returns 75% of the time.
ended in
positive returns
4
AVOID EMOTIONAL BIASES BY STICKING TO A PLAN
In good times and bad, stay on course.
Investors pay a heavy cost when their feelings dictate (often poorly timed) decisions. Following a plan can cut losses when markets are down and quicken recovery when markets turn around.
A portfolio that included bonds saw reduced losses during the financial crisis, enabling these diversified portfolios to recover much faster than a portfolio of stocks alone.
Over 20 years
Dalbar's study titled "Quantitative Analysis of Investor
Behavior" credits these numbers in part to badly timed - and often emotionally driven - investment decisions.
3
HARNESS THE POWER OF DIVIDENDS AND COMPOUNDING
Investing in risk assets—and reinvesting dividends—can be powerful moves.
Reinvesting dividends lets earnings continue to earn.
Compounding can make an exponential difference over time, compared to stock price appreciation alone.
An initial investment of $10,000 in 1970 in the S&P 500.
2
CASH ISN'T ALWAYS KING
Cash (and equivalents, like CDs) don’t offer the “safe haven” they once did.
Ultra-low interest rates mean savings currently in cash are losing value by not keeping up with inflation, yet more than $15 trillion in cash still sits on the sidelines.
Income earned by $100,000 investment
in a 6-month CD
$5,000
Even when, like now, a lot of people are relying on it.
Income generated
Income needed to beat inflation
1
PLAN ON LIVING
A LONG TIME
And saving more for it.
People who think they need more than 500k for retirement
People who are 65 today have a very good chance of living to 80 or 90. But studies reveal many of us have not saved enough for the retirement years.
Investors should start early by saving more, investing with discipline and having a plan for their future.
Seven time-tested strategies for guiding investors and their portfolios through challenging markets and toward tomorrow’s goals.
€0
€200.000
€300.000
€400.000
€500.000
€600.000
€700.000
€100.000
25
65
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
Annualised volatility and returns since 2004
0
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Cash
Global equities
Volatility
Returns
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results
Historical returns when investing over different time horizons
Range of annualised returns from a 50:50 mix of stocks and bonds since 1950
49%
-24%
Range of historical returns
17%
1%
49%
-24%
Higher risk, higher return
Range of historical returns
Download the Principles for successful long-term investing
For illustrative purposes only
Return
Time
Starting at age 35
Starting at age 25
Diversified portfolio
Stocks
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current and future results
Dalbar's study titled "Quantitative Analysis of Investor
Behavior" credits these numbers in part to badly timed - and often emotionally driven - investment decisions.
Close to
Despite a tumultuous ride for investors over the past 10 years, our analysis shows that a diversified portfolio has provided a much smoother ride than investing in stocks alone.
Principles for successful long-term investing
The key to successful investing isn’t predicting the future, it’s learning from the past and understanding the present. We present seven time-tested strategies for guiding portfolios towards tomorrow’s goals.
£351
€304
€4.436
16%
14%
Download the principles booklet for your clients
Download the principles booklet for your clients
Download the principles booklet for your clients
1-year time horizon
10-year time horizon
Download the Principles for Successful Long-Term Investing
Download the Principles for Successful Long-Term Investing
1-year time horizon
10-year time horizon
2000
2020
Download the Principles for Successful
Long-Term Investing
Income generated from €100.000 cash savings
2021
2001
€4.188
€2.343
€2.371
-
Bank deposit income
Income required to beat inflation
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