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Implied Probabilities for Fed Funds Rate Changes
Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index
A rate cut is a 25 basis point (0.25%) reduction from the current upper bound fed funds rate of 2.25%.
First Fed Rate Cut
Three Cuts or More
Source: LPL Research, Conference Board 08/27/19
March 2018: United States imposes the first round of tariffs on China.
Ned Davis Research Large Cap Growth/Value Equity Series Ratio
Durable Goods Orders Ex. Transportation (YoY, %) (R1)
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