Implied Probabilities for Fed Funds Rate Changes
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Three Cuts or More
Ned Davis Research Large Cap Growth/Value Equity Series Ratio
First Fed Rate Cut
Source: LPL Research, Bloomberg 09/03/19
Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing New Orders Index
A rate cut is a 25 basis point (0.25%) reduction from the current upper bound fed funds rate of 2.25%.
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Market implied rate hike expectations are calculated based on the pricing of various fed funds futures contracts.