In this edition:
From brown to green
A net-zero future will require massive decarbonization of energy-intensive industries. New technologies and coalitions could help lead the way.
Projected global CO₂ emissions, metric gigatons per year
80
60
40
20
0
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
Now time
Chatbot
Xiaoice released an empathetic chatbot that has 660 million users and 450 million third-party smart devices globally.
LOVOT
The Japanese companion robot LOVOT keeps its body temperature close to that of the human body (around 37 degrees Celsius) and asks for hugs. Demand for LOVOT surged more than 15-fold in 2020 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Historical trends, ~5°C by 2100
Current trends, ~3.5°C
1.5°C pathway
Actions taken in the next decade will be critical for a net-zero pathway—and for the more ambitious effort to limit warming to 1.5°C above preindustrial levels.
Dive deeper
Interactive
The 1.5-degree challenge
Technologies to watch
Agriculture
• • • • •
Zero-emissions farm equipment Meat alternatives Methane inhibitors Anaerobic manure processing Bioengineering
Power grid
• • • • • • •
Long-duration storage Advanced controls Software and communications Vehicle-to-grid integration Building-to-grid integration Next-generation nuclear High-efficiency materials
Electricity
• • • •
Electric-vehicle batteries Battery-control software Efficient building systems Industrial electrification
Carbon capture
• • • • •
Pre- and postcombustion capture technologies Direct air capture Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage Biochar CO₂-enriched concrete
Hydrogen
• • • • •
Low-cost production Road-transport fuel Ammonia production Steel production Aviation fuel
Next tech
Next-generation climate technologies will play a critical role.
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Article
Innovating to net zero: An executive’s guide to climate technology
Annual investment in climate technologies by 2025, $ billion
700–1,000
400–600
200–250
100–150
10–50
Electri-fication
Agriculture
Power grid
Hydrogen
Carbon capture
Capital ideas
By 2025, next-generation climate technologies could attract $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion of annual capital investment.
Dive deeper
Article
Innovating to net zero: An executive’s guide to climate technology
Shipping
Shipping Creating green shipping corridors by identifying optimal cargo routes based on volume and feasibility; analyzing the most viable types of green fuel; and outlining infrastructure requirements, such as fuel availability in a port
Construction
Construction Rationalizing supplier ecosystems for the steel industry to provide construction firms—which are the largest consumers of steel for commercial buildings and infrastructure projects—with easier ways to switch to green steel
Transportation
Transportation Developing transition strategies that use technologies such as sustainable fuels and novel propulsion systems for aviation and, in long-haul trucking, strategies to scale up electric or hydrogen alternatives
Shipping
Construction
Transportation
Full spectrum
But climate tech is only one element of broader approaches to decarbonizing entire value chains, such as the one launched by the Mission Possible Project, whose initiatives target the hardest-to-abate industries.
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Blog
What will it take to green seven of the hardest-to-abate industries?
Executives and boards will want to take a crash course in climate science and economics (if they haven’t already) as they build into their business strategy a plan for reaching net-zero emissions by 2050.
As investors set the rules for judging companies’ net-zero plans, executives can help investors understand a company’s rationale for approaching the transition, as well as the actions and investments the company is pursuing.
For innovation challenges that seem too expensive or risky for companies to take on independently, companies can look to form or join an innovation ecosystem of peers, academic institutions, and investors.
Next-gen climate tech will widen the range of strategic moves, even as business-model breakthroughs enable new approaches such as parametric pricing in insurance, which makes climate risk more insurable by paying out a set amount based on the magnitude of the event rather than the magnitude of the loss.
A climate-optimized business strategy requires retiring and repurposing carbon-intensive assets. But building new low-carbon businesses, pursuing M&A, and scaling up nature-based solutions such as reforestation may prove all the more important.
Learn
Build
Innovate
Collaborate
Explain
Strategize
Companies in all industries should pay careful attention to their net-zero strategies, regardless of the company’s carbon intensity.
Dive deeper
Blog
Time is running out for business leaders who don’t have a ‘net zero’ strategy
Now that you’ve read the Five …
Take a fifty-minute deeper dive
Interactive
The 1.5-degree challenge
Article
Innovating to net zero: An executive’s guide to climate technology
Blog
What will it take to green seven of the hardest-to-abate industries?
Blog
Time is running out for business leaders who don’t have a ‘net zero’ strategy