McKinsey & Company
The share of low- and middle-wage jobs in the New York combined statistical area could decline as the region adds high-wage roles.
Replay Animation
Replay Animation
Change in share of jobs in New York combined statistical area (NY CSA) by wage band, 2022–30,¹
percentage points
Managers
Note: Under midpoint automation scenario with generative AI acceleration. Figures may not sum to 100%, because of rounding.
¹Based on 2022 real wages (base year = 2010).
²Low wage: <30th percentile of wage distribution; middle wage: 31st–70th percentile; high wage: >70th percentile. Growth from 2022 to 2030 holds 2022 wage categorization constant.
Share of overall jobs by wage band in NY CSA,²
%
Breakdown of occupational categories by 2022 wage terciles,
%
Health professionals
STEM professionals
Business and legal professionals
Creatives and arts management
Educator and workforce training
Builders
Community services
Mechanical installation and repair
Office support
Health aides, technicians, and wellness
Customer service and sales
Production work
Transportation services
Agriculture
Food services
Property maintenance
7
26
18
3
4
0
9
4
4
–22
30
–15
–4
4
3
–6
2
2022–30 labor
demand change,
%
2022
2030
2022–30 change,
number of jobs
43.1
41.6
–93,000
25.5
24.9
–22,000
31.4
33.5
338,000
Low wage
Middle wage
High wage
–0.6
–1.5
–2.1
3
97
8
90
2
14
86
21
79
35
60
5
27
45
28
79
15
6
46
12
43
87
4
9
35
3
62
18
3
79
10
3
87
19
1
80
44
1
55
14
85
13
87
6
94