CATEGORIES
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
likelihood
impact
Weapons of mass destruction
Extreme weather events
Natural disasters
Interstate conflict
Failure of national governance
Terrorist attacks
Failure of regional or
global governance
Failure of critical infrastructure
State collapse or crisis
Fiscal crises
Asset bubbles in a
major economy
Failure of financial
mechanism or institution
Energy price shock
Illicit trade
Deflation
Unmanageable inflation
Unemployment or underemployment
Failure of climate-change
mitigation and adaptation
Biodiversity loss and
ecosystem collapse
Man-made environmental
disasters
Food crises
Water crises
Large-scale
involuntary migration
Spread of infectious diseases
Failure of urban planning
Profound social instability
Critical information
infrastructure breakdown
Data fraud or theft
Adverse consequences
of technological advances
Cyberattacks
All categories
All categories
Technological
Technological
Economic
Economic
Environmental
Environmental
Geopolitical
Geopolitical
Societal
Societal
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