Source: Analysis conducted by Oliver Wyman’s actuarial practice.
The average tenure of justices is likely to increase to 35 years on the bench over the next century, versus 17 years in the previous 100 years
The average tenure of justices is likely to more than double over the next century.
2X
FINDING #1
Source: Analysis conducted by Oliver Wyman’s actuarial practice.
There is a 3% chance that a president serving two terms will nominate a majority of justices. Since George Washington first formed the Supreme Court, six presidents have had the privilege of appointing five or more justices.
Dwight D. Eisenhower
(8 years in office)
Abraham Lincoln
(4 years and 1 month in office)
William Howard Taft
(4 years in office)
Andrew Jackson
(8 years in office)
Franklin D. Roosevelt
(12 years in office)
George Washington
(8 years in office)
Number of Supreme Court Justices
President Appointed
5
5
6
6
9
11
FINDING #3