global
outlook:
RANK
risk
FISCAL CRISES
Cyber attacks
Unemployment or underemployment
Energy price shock
Failure of national governance
Profound social instability
Data fraud or theft
Inter-state conflict
Failure of critical infrastructure
Asset bubble
1
2
5
3
4
6
7
8
9
10
5
1
1
2
3
4
2
3
0
0
regional
major economies
economic
Environmental
geopolitical
societal
technological
Change since 2018
regional
outlook:
europe
Cyber attacks
1
2
5
6
7
8
9
10
3
4
Asset bubble
Inter-state conflict
Energy price shock
Fiscal crises
Data fraud or theft
Failure of national governance
Unemployment or underemployment
Large-scale involuntary migration
Profound social instability
global
major economies
Sub-Saharan Africa
Unemployment or underemployment
1
2
5
6
7
8
9
10
3
4
Failure of national governance
Failure of critical infrastructure
Energy price shock
Fiscal crises
Profound social instability
Illicit trade
Water crises
Terrorist attacks
Failure of urban planning
East Asia and the Pacific*
Natural catastrophes
1
2
5
6
7
8
9
10
3
4
Cyber attacks
Inter-state conflict
Fiscal crises
Extreme weather events
Asset bubble
Data fraud or theft
Energy price shock
Unemployment or underemployment
Failure of national governance
eurasia
Profound social instability
1
2
5
6
7
8
9
10
3
4
Inter-state conflict
Energy price shock
Fiscal crises
Unmanageable inflation
Failure of financial mechanism or institution
Data fraud or theft
Unemployment or underemployment
State collapse or crisis
Illicit trade
Latin America and the Caribbean
Failure of national governance
1
2
5
6
7
8
9
10
3
4
Profound social instability
Unemployment or underemployment
Fiscal crises
Failure of critical infrastructure
State collapse or crisis
Illicit trade
Energy price shock
Data fraud or theft
Large-scale involuntary migration
Middle East and North Africa
Energy price shock
1
2
5
6
7
8
9
10
3
4
Fiscal crises
Unemployment or underemployment
Unmanageable inflation
Asset bubble
Inter-state conflict
Water crises
Cyber attacks
Profound social instability
Illicit trade
North America
Cyber attacks
1
2
5
6
7
8
9
10
3
4
Data fraud or theft
Terrorist attacks
Critical information infrastructure breakdown
Failure of critical infrastructure
Fiscal crises
Failure of national governance
Failure of climate-change adaptation
Extreme weather events
Natural catastrophes
South Asia
Water crises
1
2
5
6
7
8
9
10
3
4
Terrorist attacks
Manmade environmental catastrophes
Failure of urban planning
Energy price shock
Deflation
Unemployment or underemployment
State collapse or crisis
Fiscal crises
Asset bubble
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
economic
Environmental
geopolitical
societal
technological
*No 2019 data for China
outlook:
global
regional
major economies
X
United States
Change since 2018
Cyber attacks
2
13
-3
-3
1
6
15
1
2
5
6
7
8
9
10
3
4
Data fraud or theft
Terrorist attacks
Critical information infrastructure breakdown
Failure of critical infrastructure
Fiscal crises
Failure of national governance
Failure of climate-change adaptation
Natural catastrophes
Extreme weather events
0
Japan
Natural catastrophes
8
1
15
1
2
5
6
7
7
7
10
3
3
Cyber attacks
Fiscal crises
Inter-state conflict
Extreme weather events
Failure of financial mechanism or institution
Critical information infrastructure breakdown
Energy price shock
Failure of climate-change adaptation
Deflation
4
X
Germany
Cyber attacks
1
2
1
2
4
4
7
7
9
9
3
4
Asset bubble
Large-scale involuntary migration
Data fraud or theft
Misuse of technologies
Terrorist attacks
Energy price shock
Inter-state conflict
Extreme weather events
Natural catastrophes
0
X
1
6
10
5
0
2
1
0
2
6
11
2
4
4
2
India
Water crises
6
1
2
5
6
7
7
9
9
3
4
Manmade environmental catastrophes
Terrorist attacks
Deflation
State collapse or crisis
Failure of urban planning
Asset bubble
Fiscal crises
Misuse of technologies
Unemployment or underemployment
23
7
6
22
X
3
1
21
13
5
United Kingdom
Cyber attacks
1
2
5
6
7
8
9
9
3
4
Data fraud or theft
Failure of national governance
Terrorist attacks
Misuse of technologies
Fiscal crises
Asset bubble
Profound social instability
Energy price shock
Large-scale involuntary migration
10
1
6
1
2
X
0
2
4
2
2
France
Cyber attacks
1
2
5
6
7
8
8
10
2
4
Asset bubble
Inter-state conflict
Energy price shock
Profound social instability
Terrorist attacks
Large-scale involuntary migration
Fiscal crises
Unemployment or underemployment
Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse
1
2
2
4
1
1
11
2
X
2
7
Italy
Cyber attacks
1
2
5
6
7
8
8
10
3
4
Critical information infrastructure breakdown
Manmade environmental catastrophes
Food crises
Data fraud or theft
Energy price shock
Asset bubble
Inter-state conflict
Unemployment or underemployment
State collapse or crisis
18
12
8
15
3
1
5
5
X
6
3
BRAzil
Failure of national governance
1
2
5
6
7
7
9
10
3
4
Fiscal crises
Failure of critical infrastructure
Unemployment or underemployment
Profound social instability
State collapse or crisis
Failure of urban planning
Manmade environmental catastrophes
Illicit trade
Misuse of technologies
12
21
8
18
3
4
5
11
19
X
0
canada
Cyber attacks
1
2
5
6
6
8
8
10
3
4
Data fraud or theft
Extreme weather events
Energy price shock
Failure of regional and global governance
Asset bubble
Failure of climate-change adaptation
Manmade environmental catastrophes
Misuse of technologies
Natural catastrophes
3
5
7
1
9
X
0
0
0
4
3
South Korea
Unemployment or underemployment
1
2
4
6
7
7
9
10
3
4
Extreme weather events
Manmade environmental catastrophes
Cyber attacks
Inter-state conflict
Asset bubble
Profound social instability
Fiscal crises
Failure of financial mechanism or institution
Energy price shock
7
2
X
0
0
10
Failure of climate-change adaptation
10
10
Natural catastrophes
1
3
2
0
2
2
0
russia
Inter-state conflict
1
2
4
6
7
8
9
3
4
Profound social instability
Energy price shock
Fiscal crises
Unmanageable inflation
Failure of financial mechanism or institution
Data fraud or theft
State collapse or crisis
Unemployment or underemployment
4
2
2
1
2
10
Cyber attacks
5
10
Illicit trade
2
X
0
spain
Unemployment or underemployment
1
2
5
5
7
8
9
9
3
3
Asset bubble
Energy price shock
Failure of regional and global governance
Profound social instability
State collapse or crisis
Failure of national governance
Cyber attacks
Failure of financial mechanism or institution
Fiscal crises
3
7
3
X
0
0
1
3
0
0
4
3
2
5
Australia
Energy price shock
1
2
5
6
7
7
9
3
4
Cyber attacks
Asset bubble
Failure of critical infrastructure
Fiscal crises
Extreme weather events
Data fraud or theft
Failure of climate-change adaptation
Failure of urban planning
5
10
Failure of national governance
2
10
Water crises
5
X
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
3
Mexico
Failure of national governance
1
2
5
5
7
8
9
9
3
4
Illicit trade
Profound social instability
Energy price shock
State collapse or crisis
Failure of regional and global governance
Unemployment or underemployment
Data fraud or theft
Fiscal crises
Large-scale involuntary migration
3
4
2
5
7
3
3
X
0
0
0
South Africa
Unemployment or underemployment
1
2
5
6
7
8
9
10
3
4
Failure of national governance
Failure of critical infrastructure
Profound social instability
Energy price shock
Water crises
Fiscal crises
State collapse or crisis
Illicit trade
Failure of urban planning
2
4
1
4
4
2
X
0
0
1
2
Nigeria
Unemployment or underemployment
1
2
5
6
7
8
9
10
3
4
Failure of critical infrastructure
Failure of national governance
Energy price shock
Terrorist attack
Fiscal crises
Profound social instability
Failure of financial mechanism or institution
Data fraud or theft
1
3
1
X
0
0
1
0
1
0
Failure of urban planning
1
No 2019 data for China.
economic
Environmental
geopolitical
societal
technological
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
Change since 2018
