From acceleration to resilience: oil shock reins in economy's upside
Factors impacting real GDP growth for the year ahead, %
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
Trend
Tariffs
Immigration
Oil
Uncertainty
Markets
Fiscal
Deregulation
Net
Source: Russell Investments, Yale Budget Lab, Brookings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, LSEG. 5 June 2026.
