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Iran-Israel-US Conflict Updated 01 Mar 2026
Heat Mapping of Seerist’s 26 ‘War’ VEs in Iran on 28 Feb 2026
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Middle East Conflict Updated 02 Mar 2026
Iranian Drone & Missile Attacks on Oil & Gas Facilities in the Middle East
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Ongoing Commercial Travel Disruptions in the Middle East
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12-Hour Timeline of Conflict Evolution
Escalating US-Israel-Iran Military Confrontation
Iran’s Threat to Block the Strait of Hormuz
OVERVIEW Iran has launched a series of drone and missile attacks targeting critical energy infrastructure and military bases across the Persian Gulf region, including Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, UAE, and Israel. Saudi Arabia's Ras Tanura oil refinery, the kingdom's largest with a capacity of 550,000 barrels per day, was struck by Iranian drones on March 2, 2026, resulting in a precautionary shutdown and a small fire that was quickly controlled. The refinery's shutdown has not impacted domestic oil supply but raises global supply concerns. THREAT ANALYSIS Iran's use of drones and missiles to target vital Gulf energy infrastructure and U.S. military bases marks a significant escalation in regional hostilities, increasing the risk of wider conflict involving Gulf states, the U.S., and Israel. Iran's attacks have extended beyond military targets to include civilian infrastructure and commercial shipping, as evidenced by missile debris causing a fatal fire on a foreign ship in Bahrain's port. The ongoing missile and drone strikes have caused casualties, including the first confirmed U.S. military deaths in the current conflict phase and civilian deaths in Bahrain, highlighting the human cost of the escalation. Regional Impact on Energy & Regional Security The attacks have disrupted maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil transit route, contributing to a surge in global oil prices. Saudi Arabia and neighboring Gulf states are likely to increase cooperation with U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran in response to the attacks on their energy infrastructure WHAT TO WATCH FOR Potential further Iranian drone and missile attacks targeting additional Gulf energy infrastructure and U.S. military bases, possibly expanding to other regional countries. Responses from Saudi Arabia and Gulf Cooperation Council states, including possible increased military cooperation with the U.S. and Israel against Iran. Impact on global oil markets due to sustained disruptions at key facilities like Ras Tanura and maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
Verified ‘War’ Events targeting Oil & Gas sector facilities across the Middle East over the last 3 days.
Breakdown of Verified ‘War’ Events Targeting the Oil & Gas Sector by Attack-Type
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Military drone: 3 (60.00%) Missile/Rocket: 2 (40.00%)
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Comparison of Hostilities Across First 48 Hours
Overview The conflict with Iran shifted from a focus on leadership nodes and security infrastructure on 28 February 2026 to a more expansive and lethal campaign on 1 March 2026 due to the increase in civilian casualties compared to the initial day of hostilities.
Insight: On 28 February 2026, the US and Israel launched a coordinated offensive against Iran, primarily targeting military infrastructure, missile facilities, and leadership nodes in provinces such as Tehran, Isfahan, and Qom. Analysts noted that these initial strikes were designed to maximize operational disruption by occurring in the early morning and focusing on the security apparatus. Iran responded with an unprecedented wave of strikes across the Middle East, targeting US-allied countries hosting military bases, including Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE.
(28 Feb) Day #1 Verified Events by ‘Sector’ Targeted
(1 Mar) Day #2 Verified Events by ‘Sector’ Targeted
Insight: The conflict intensified on 1 March 2026 as the US and Israel expanded their targeting profile to include more than 30 sites, encompassing regime targets, military command centers, ships, and broadcasting sites. Iran’s retaliation also grew more lethal; a missile impact in Jerusalem reportedly killed at least nine people and injured 27 others, while another strike in Tel Aviv reportedly killed one person and injured 20. In the Gulf, debris from intercepted projectiles caused a fire at Jebel Ali Port in Dubai and impacted Bahrain International Airport. Analysts warned that the removal of Iran's top leadership would not immediately change Tehran's posture, as the IRGC pledged revenge and claimed to have launched attacks on 27 bases hosting US troops.
Source: Seerist, AskAnna NLQ Output
Maritime Risk & Impact to Key Markets in the Strait of Hormuz
Impact of February 2026 Iran Conflict on Oil & Gas Market. The February 2026 conflict between the US/Israel and Iran has led to a significant deterioration of maritime security in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has warned that the strait is banned for all ships, and while a complete, sustained closure is unlikely, there is an increased risk of Iranian seizures or assaults against US- and Israel-affiliated shipping. Naval engagements between US and Iranian forces pose a collateral damage risk to all vessels. A prolonged disruption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for approximately 20% of global oil and LNG supply, could lead to a significant rise in global oil and gas prices (estimated 25%-50%), increasing inflation and slowing global growth. Asian economies are particularly exposed to these disruptions. The conflict has also led to immediate disruptions in regional air travel and shipping.
Control Risks’ Verified Maritime Events Since 28 February 2026
Nearly 20% of global oil supply (20m barrels per day) and a 20% of global liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply transits the strait on a daily basis, and a prolonged disruption of shipping would lead to a significant rise in global oil and gas prices (with estimates ranging from 25%-50%). Military operations pose a threat to regional oil production and shipping; a short-term spike in global oil prices is likely. Iranian forces on 28 February over VHF radio channel 16 warned “from now on, no ship is allowed to pass Strait of Hormuz. From now on Strait of Hormuz is banned for all ships. Whether Iran enforces the closure or not, the threat alone has already diverted multiple ships away from planned transits through the Strait, with many more likely to pause until the fog of war lifts – this is likely to take days at least.
EmotionsAI Trends Across News & Social Discussing Global Oil Prices Over the Last 60 Days
Sentiment Trends Across News & Social Over the Last 60 Days Centered on Impact of February’s Conflict in Iran on Global Oil Prices
Source: Seerist, AskAnna NLQ Output, Control Risks’ Analysis #1, #2
Conflict Reporting: Analyzing Sentiment & Emotions Over Last 7 Days
Analyst’s Note Of the 293 reports that met the threshold to register a sentiment classified as either positive, negative, or neutral using Seerist’s natural language processing and machine learning algorithms to identify and categorize sentiment expressed in textual data, approximately: 12.7% were categorized as negative 23.5% were positive 63.8% were neutral The prevailing emotion registering across high- and medium-reliability international news reporting on the conflict was Fear at 44%, followed by Anger (34.8%), and Sadness (16%). The remaining emotions - Disgust, Joy, and Surprise – including Neutral – accounted for the remaining percentage of news reports.
Chart Indicating Sentiment Related to Iran-Israel-US Conflict Across High- and Medium-Reliability International News Sources
EmotionsAI Trends in International News Sources
Analyst’s Note Compared to the 293 reports that registered a sentiment in conflict-centric content published by International News sources, 2,751 reports registered a sentiment in regional (Middle East) news sources when discussing the February conflict. 30.4% were categorized as negative 26.0% were positive 43.6% were neutral Fear (72.1%) followed by Anger (14.2%) and Sadness (10.6%) accounted for the top 3 emotions associated with the Iran-Israel-US conflict in reporting coming from Middle East news sources over the past 7 days.
Chart Indicating Sentiment Around the Conflict in High- and Medium-Reliability Regional News Sources
EmotionsAI Trends Across Middle East Regional News Sources
Analyst’s Note Positive sentiment in domestic Iranian news reporting held a slight edge on negative sentiment over the past 7 days. Internal reporting emphasized narratives celebrating missile strikes on US military bases in the region and a commitment to fight despite the death of Iran’s Supreme Leader on 28 February. The sentiment breakdown across 795 reports is below: 21.7% were categorized as negative 26.2% were positive 52.1% were neutral Like trends observed in the Middle East Regional News Monitor, Iranian state or Iranian-aligned domestic news sources registered Fear (50%), Anger (28.9%), and Sadness (14.2%) across the 7-day period, with most emotions spiking when strikes commenced on 28 Feb.
Chart Indicating Sentiment Across Domestic Iranian State and Iranian-Aligned (e.g., Journalistic) Sources
EmotionsAI Trends
International News Monitor
Middle East Regional News Monitor
Iran Domestic News Monitor
Source: Seerist
Posted 02 March 2026
Posted 01 March 2026
OVERVIEW As of 1 Mar, the conflict in Iran has resulted in the near-total closure of airspace in Iran, Iraq, Israel, Kuwait, and Qatar, with significant restrictions also affecting the UAE, Bahrain, and Syria. • Major international hubs, including Dubai International (DXB), Al Maktoum International (DWC), and Erbil International, have suspended all operat ions causing over 3,400 to 5,000 flight cancellations and thousands of passengers stranded globally. Kuwait International and Bahrain International airports have sustained direct damage from Iranian drone and missile strikes. Global airlines such as Lufthansa, British Airways, Air France-KLM, Turkish Airlines, and Qatar Airways have canceled hundreds of flights across the region, some through 7 Mar. On Mar 1, Gulf car riers Emirates and Etihad canceled 38% and 30% of their flights respectively; Indian airlines alone canceled approximately 444 international flights. Consequently, air traffic is being heavily rerouted through Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey, or over Afghanistan and Central Asia, to avoid the active combat zones. While Saudi Arabian air cor ridors remain open, most regional travel is still characterized by cancellations, significant delays, and technical hazards such as GPS jamming.
Verified War Events Targeting Airports in the Last 24 Hours
AskAnna NLQ / DiscoverAI
Breaking Event
MAJOR HUB DISRUPTIONS AND AIRPORT ATTACKS The conflict has severely impacted major global transit hubs, most notably in the UAE. On February 28, 2026, author ities announced a total suspension of operations at Dubai International Airport (DXB) and Al Maktoum International Airport (DWC) due to Iranian missile launches. In Iraq, flight operations were suspended at Erbil International Airport, which later became a target of Iranian ballistic missile or drone strikes on March 1, 2026. Kuwait International Airport also faced disruptions after Iranian drones targeted Terminal 1 on February 28. Additionally, Bahrain International Airport suffered property damage from an Iranian drone attack on March 1, 2026, while operations at Zayed International Airport in Abu Dhabi remain significantly impacted by delays and cancellations.
EmotionsAI Analysis of Middle East Overflight Risks (Feb 23 – Mar 1)
Seerist DiscoverAI 24-Hour Timeline on ‘Escalating US-Israel Military Actions Against Iran’
Overview On February 28, 2026, the U.S. and Israel launched a major coordinated military strike against Iran targeting leadership and strategic sites. Iran retaliated with missile and drone attacks on U.S. and Israeli assets across the Middle East, causing casualties and damage in Gulf states including the UAE. The escalation prompted international diplomatic responses, emergency UN meetings, and increased military readiness in the region. Control Risks’ Insight The US and Israel on 28 February launched extensive military strikes on Iran reportedly targeting its military assets, missile facilities and political leadership. Iran launched missile attacks on Israel and US-linked military bases in the Gulf Arab region in response. US strikes and Iranian retaliation are likely to continue for days to weeks, posing a prolonged security threat to the wider region. Military operations pose a threat to regional oil production and shipping; a short-term spike in global oil prices is likely. The conflict will significantly disrupt regional air travel and shipping in the coming days. More than in mid-2025, the current conflict could reorder regional geopolitics, influence global energy security and reshape strategic competition.
Strikes and aftermath US President Donald Trump, in a statement announcing the attacks, stated that a US goal was regime change in Iran and indicated that strikes would be likely to continue for days or weeks. Iran’s direct and asymmetric retaliation is likely to continue for a similar timeframe. Both the US and Iran have large but limited inventories of missiles and air defense interceptors. Similar but less extensive Israeli and US strikes on Iran’s military and nuclear facilities in June 2025, and Iran’s missile and drone retaliation, lasted 12 days before a ceasefire was reached. (Control Risks’ Analysis)
Analyzing Iran’s Stability
Insight The outlook for Iran's stability following the killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on 28 February 2026 is characterized by immediate regional volatility and long-term domestic uncertainty, though the regime's core power structures are expected to show initial resilience. While the assassination of the second leader of the Islamic Republic throws the future of the theocracy into doubt, February 2026 assessments indicate that the Iranian system is designed to endure beyond a single individual, with established command structures and deputies intended to maintain continuity.
Regime Resilience & Command Continuity The Iranian regime is expected to maintain control and continuity in its command structure despite the high-profile assassinations of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and multiple senior military leaders on 28 February 2026. Analysts assessed in June 2025 that the regime's command structure is resilient, as evidenced by its ability to quickly appoint successors and operationalize retaliatory strikes following previous Israeli operations. While the death of the second leader of the Islamic Republic, who had no designated successor, throws the future into doubt, the existing power structures and policies are expected to remain stable.
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Note: UTC times denote Breaking Event publishing timelines
Analyzing Domestic Iranian State & Aligned Media Narratives using Seerist’s EmotionsAI Capability
Source: Seerist, AskAnna
Impact Across the Region to Country-level Stability
Key Takeaway The regional response to the US-Israel-Iran conflict in February 2026 is defined by a rapid shift from diplomatic mediation to emergency crisis management and defensive posturing. Gulf Arab states, led by Saudi Arabia and the UAE, have moved from issuing pre-emptive declarations of neutrality in late January to active military defense and public condemnation of Iran following retaliatory missile strikes on February 28, 2026. While these states previously sought to mediate through Omaniled talks in Geneva, the commencement of US-Israeli "regime change" operations has forced them into a unified stance against Iranian aggression. In the Levant, Lebanon and Jordan are prioritizing domestic stability, with Hizbullah signaling restraint to avoid Israeli counter-strikes and Jordan actively intercepting missiles over its territory. The conflict has caused a near-total collapse of regional civil aviation and digital connectivity, with eight nations closing their airspace and Iran implementing a nationwide internet blackout as of February 28, 2026. This escalation has effectively ended the "no deal, no crisis" equilibrium of late 2025, replacing it with a high-intensity regional war that threatens global energy security and local economic diversification plans.
Analyst’s Note Seerist recorded 52 ‘war’ verified events so far on 28 February across 12 countries in region. The sector most targeted during the day’s attacks were military in nature (69%), followed by aviation (7.3%) and maritime (5.8%). An aggregated view of the VEs by sector is included in the graphic below. The primary attack type for these events involved the use of missile/rockets (46), with airstrikes (28) and military drones (10) recorded. Some attacks included the multiple types of delivery methods at once in a likely attempt to overwhelm nation Integrated Air Defense Systems.
Note: The PulseAI stability score is an algorithm designed to identify anomalies in media reporting to compute daily micro-changes in risk and stability using Control Risks’ risk ratings as a baseline score.
Map of the Region with Country-Specific PulseAI Scores & Verified ‘War’ Events
Verified Events by ‘Sector’ Targeted
PulseAI Score Changes
Military: 47 (69.12%)
Aviation: 5 (7.35%)
Marine: 4 (5.88%)
Government: 3 (4.41%)
Private Property: 3 (4.41%)
Education: 2 (2.94%)
Hospitality: 2 (2.94%)
Entertainment: 1 (1.47%)
Road: 1 (1.47%)
Overview On February 28, 2026, the U.S. and Israel launched a major coordinated military strike against Iran targeting leadership and strategic sites. Iran retaliated with missile and drone attacks on U.S. and Israeli assets across the Middle East, causing casualties and damage in Gulf states including t he UAE. The escalation prompted international diplomatic responses, emergency UN meetings, and increased military readiness in the region. Control Risks’ Insight The US and Israel on 28 February launched extensive military strikes on Iran reportedly targeting its military assets, missile facilities and political leadership. Iran launched missile attacks on Israel and US-linked military bases in the Gulf Arab region in response. US strikes and Iranian retaliation are likely to continue for days to weeks, posing a prolonged security threat to the wider region. Military operations pose a threat to regional oil production and shipping; a short-term spike in global oil prices is likely. The conflict will significantly disrupt regional air travel and shipping in the coming days. More than in mid-2025, the current conflict could reorder regional geopolitics, influence global energy security and reshape strategic competition.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched coordinated, large-scale military strikes against Iran, targeting multiple cities including Tehran, Isfahan, Qom, Karaj, and Kermanshah. The operations, codenamed 'Lion's Roar' (Israel), 'Epic Fury' (US), and 'Judah's Shield' (joint), focused on high-value targets including Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's residence and senior political and military officials. Iran retaliated with missile and drone strikes targeting Israeli territory and multiple U.S. military bases across the Middle East, including Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, UAE, Iraq, Jordan, and Syria. OPERATIONAL DEVELOPMENTS The U.S. and Israeli strikes reportedly destroyed the Supreme Leader's palace complex and targeted multiple military and governmental sites, with unconfirmed reports of fatalities among Iran's top leadership. Iran launched missile attacks on seven Middle Eastern countries hosting U.S. forces, including Iraq, Jordan, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, UAE, and Syria, marking a broad regional retaliation. The U.S. has deployed additional military assets, including aircraft and drones, to regional bases in Jordan, Kuwait, and Qatar in preparation for ongoing operations. {"version":1,"sentinel":"[CEROS OBJECT]","payload":{"selection":[{"type":"text-plus-component","title":"Iran","x":166,"y":6515,"width":109,"height":20,"synced":true,"defaultSpan":{"fontColor":"#FFFFFF","fontSize":17,"variantGuid":"Google|Archivo|700|normal","underline":false,"letterSpacing":30,"paddingTop":0,"paddingRight":0,"paddingBottom":0,"paddingLeft":0,"synced":false,"fontFamily":"Archivo"},"justify":"left","leading":35,"id":"69a45a3a0aac0","fixedPosition":false,"preserveAspectRatio":false,"opacity":1,"rotation":0,"visible":true,"locked":false,"editable":true,"background":{},"backgroundHasBeenSet":false,"border":{},"animations":[],"exitAnimations":[],"interactions":[],"shadow":{},"animationsRepeatAll":false,"animationsReplayOnScroll":false,"sdkTags":[],"sdkPayload":"","showHoverCursor":false,"states":{},"selectedState":"default","userDefinedStates":[],"transition":null,"paddingTop":0,"paddingBottom":0,"paddingRight":0,"paddingLeft":0,"clipTextContent":true,"columns":1,"columnGap":0,"ariaLive":"polite","ariaDescribedBy":[],"ariaLabelledBy":[],"baseOffset":-2.1,"boxMode":"fixedsize","textContent":"Iran","textSpans":[],"listDefinitions":[],"headings":[],"lines":[{"index":0,"length":1,"leading":"auto-1.2","baseOffset":"auto"}],"listMarkerStyles":[]},{"type":"shape-component","shape":"square","title":"Square Shape","x":160,"y":6513,"width":136,"height":23,"border":{"radius":0},"background":{"color":"#0A2240"},"id":"69a45a300aabe","fixedPosition":false,"preserveAspectRatio":false,"opacity":1,"rotation":0,"visible":true,"locked":false,"editable":true,"backgroundHasBeenSet":true,"animations":[],"exitAnimations":[],"interactions":[],"shadow":{},"animationsRepeatAll":false,"animationsReplayOnScroll":false,"sdkTags":[],"sdkPayload":"","showHoverCursor":false,"states":{},"selectedState":"default","userDefinedStates":[],"transition":null,"ariaLive":"polite","ariaDescribedBy":[],"ariaLabelledBy":[],"pathData":null},{"title":"snippet.jpg","progress":null,"type":"image-component","x":101,"y":6479,"width":206,"height":188,"contentType":"image/jpeg","pasteFromCenter":false,"assetOrigin":"upload","synced":true,"border":{"radius":0},"id":"69a458d30aab5","fixedPosition":false,"preserveAspectRatio":true,"opacity":1,"rotation":0,"visible":true,"locked":false,"editable":true,"background":{},"backgroundHasBeenSet":false,"animations":[],"exitAnimations":[],"interactions":[],"shadow":{},"animationsRepeatAll":false,"animationsReplayOnScroll":false,"sdkTags":[],"sdkPayload":"","showHoverCursor":false,"states":{},"selectedState":"default","userDefinedStates":[],"transition":null,"image":"/v1/account/seerist/images/2026-03-01-567c8e84eb37d75c8044541f0d24f84e-snippet-jpg","altText":null,"createDate":1772378323939,"nounProjectIconId":null,"gettyImageId":null,"gettyVideoId":null,"linkedGettyAsset":false,"crop":null,"effects":{"brightness":0,"contrast":0,"hue-rotate":0,"saturate":0,"sepia":0,"invert":0},"blendingMode":"normal","originalUri":null,"backgroundRemovedUri":null,"originalDimensions":null,"backgroundRemovedDimensions":null,"flipHorizontal":false,"flipVertical":false}],"scranchors":[],"guides":[],"sourceVariantOfCopy":"desktop","sourcePageSlugOfCopy":"page-69a42c763913d","smartgroupDefinitions":[]},"imagesMap":{"/v1/account/seerist/images/2026-03-01-567c8e84eb37d75c8044541f0d24f84e-snippet-jpg":"https://media.ceros.com/seerist/images/2026/03/01/3feddbfb3523167f63c269ac1ea2a461/snippet.jpg"},"videosMap":{},"fontsMap":{}}
WHAT TO WATCH FOR Iran's next retaliatory moves, including missile, drone, cyber, and proxy attacks against U.S. bases and regional allies, remain critical to monitor for escalation or de-escalation signals. Potential responses from Gulf Arab states, especially Saudi Arabia, which has reserved the right to retaliate, could broaden the conflict geographically. The health and status of Iran's Supreme Leader and top officials, as well as the regime's internal stability amid protests and opposition, will influence conflict trajectory.
Iran
Verified ‘War’ Events in Iran with Pulse Stability Score Overlay
Verified Events by Sector Targeted
Military: 24 (80.00%) Government: 3 (10.00%)
Education: 2 (6.67%) Marine: 1 (3.33%)
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched coordinated, large-scale military strikes against Iran, targeting multiple cities including Tehran, Isfahan, Qom, Karaj, and Kermanshah. The operations, codenamed 'Lion's Roar' (Israel), 'Epic Fury' (US), and 'Judah's Shield' (joint), focused on high-value targets including Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's residence and senior political and military officials. Iran retaliated with missile and drone strikes targeting Israeli territory and multiple U.S. military bases across the Middle East, including Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, UAE, Iraq, Jordan, and Syria. OPERATIONAL DEVELOPMENTS The U.S. and Israeli strikes reportedly destroyed the Supreme Leader's palace complex and targeted multiple military and governmental sites, with unconfirmed reports of fatalities among Iran's top leadership. Iran launched missile attacks on seven Middle Eastern countries hosting U.S. forces, including Iraq, Jordan, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, UAE, and Syria, marking a broad regional retaliation. The U.S. has deployed additional military assets, including aircraft and drones, to regional bases in Jordan, Kuwait, and Qatar in preparation for ongoing operations. WHAT TO WATCH FOR Iran's next retaliatory moves, including missile, drone, cyber, and proxy attacks against U.S. bases and regional allies, remain critical to monitor for escalation or de-escalation signals. Potential responses from Gulf Arab states, especially Saudi Arabia, which has reserved the right to retaliate, could broaden the conflict geographically. The health and status of Iran's Supreme Leader and top officials, as well as the regime's internal stability amid protests and opposition, will influence conflict trajectory.
OVERVIEW On February 28, 2026, Iran's Revolutionary Guards declared a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital oil and LNG shipping route, amid escalating U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iran. This led major oil companies to suspend shipments and tankers to avoid the strait due to safety concerns and military warnings. The resulting tensions have driven oil prices above $72 per barrel, with forecasts warning of further sharp increases if the strait remains closed, threatening global energy supplies and economic stability. THREAT ANALYSIS Iran possesses significant capability to disrupt global oil markets through potential attacks on shipping, mining the Strait of Hormuz, or targeting oil infrastructure of U.S. allies in the Gulf region. The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow maritime channel between Oman and Iran, through which approximately 20 million barrels of oil and over 10 billion cubic feet of LNG pass daily, representing about 20-30% of global seaborne oil trade. A full closure of the Strait of Hormuz would severely impact global energy supplies and could cause oil prices to surge above $90-$150 per barrel, with significant economic consequences worldwide. WHAT TO WATCH FOR Iran's next moves regarding the Strait of Hormuz, including any formal blockade or mining operations, which would critically affect global oil and LNG flows. Responses from Gulf Arab states and the U.S. military, including potential escort operations or increased naval presence to secure shipping lanes. Duration and extent of shipment suspensions by oil majors and trading houses, and whether alternative routes or increased production from other OPEC+ members will offset supply disruptions.
Control Risks’ Strait of Hormuz Risk Ratings
Map of Strait of Hormuz (SoH) ‘War (maritime)’ Risk Rating & Updates
EmotionsAI Trends in News & Social Around Conflict’s Impact to SoH
Sentiment in News & Social Reporting Around SoH Risk Environment
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