Global Outlook
MARCH 2025
SCroll down to explore
Analysis provided by Seerist's strategic partner Control Risks
We have identified the following key developments and trends to watch globally over the coming month.
Companies in the northern hemisphere will likely face direct action threats as Annual General Meetings (AGMs) take place from March.
Pro-Palestinian, climate and single-issue activists have previously disrupted AGMs by shouting, storming stages or blocking entrances. A growing tendency to target individuals is likely to be co-ordinated with online “name and shame” initiatives, raising reputational risks. Greenpeace activists on 21 January bought tickets and gained access to the main hall in Davos to hang a banner, underscoring the threat posed by legitimate attendees at major events.
1
2
The ongoing talks between the US and Russia on the Ukraine war and the prospect of a trade dispute have engendered a major crisis in US-European relations.
Ukraine and Europe have requested involvement in any deal to end the conflict. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump on 26 February said that the US would implement 25% tariffs on EU goods “very soon”. The US has threatened tariffs against several countries since January. Geopolitical risks will continue to drive regulatory volatility in the coming months, at least.
3
The terrorism threat will remain elevated during the Muslim holy month of Ramadan (approximately 28 February-30 March).
Ramadan typically coincides with an uptick in Islamist extremist attacks, often following exhortations from groups including Islamic State, al-Qaida and their affiliates. The Israel-Hamas conflict and aftermath will likely further bolster intent by these groups to stage attacks, even if capabilities for high-impact attacks remain limited. Local affiliates in sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East and parts of Asia are the most likely actors to stage attacks during this period.
4
Greenland on 11 March will hold general elections amid heightened scrutiny given US President Donald Trump’s interest in the territory.
While the next government is likely to be pro-independence from Denmark, no immediate change to Greenland’s status with Denmark is likely. However, Trump’s remarks were part of a series of statements that reflect an emerging trend in geopolitics: a weakening respect for borders and territorial integrity.
In this outlook, Control Risks’ analysts share their views on key trends and events to monitor over the next month. This is not intended to be an exhaustive list but gives a selection of issues that our teams around the world feel are particularly relevant, interesting or important. To give feedback or suggestions on the outlook, please contact support@seerist.com.
Sources:
“Trump says 25% tariffs on EU will be announced soon”, BBC
“Israel Police warns against fake news, incitement ahead of Ramadan in Jerusalem”, JPost
“Greenpeace activists protest inside Davos forum urging leaders to tax the super-rich”, Greenpeace
“Trump says he still wants to buy Greenland, suggests Canada could become a U.S. state”, NPR
Control Risks
Request a demo
Request a demo to see how Seerist can support your security and intelligence efforts.
Explore Seerist Today
The foresight to get ahead of what may come.
The insights with the most impact.
Accelerate speed to decision.
SHARE
THE
REPORT