Back on 28 May, the Seerist HotspotsAI model triggered a hotspot at the border due to clashes between Thai and Cambodian troops. This event led to a drop in Thailand's PulseAI score and a spike in the fear category of the country's EventsAI emotions analysis. Seerist consistently analysed and reported on the conflict, leveraging multiple data sets and analyses. All of the information helped users understand the "atmospherics" and prepare for the escalation throughout the following months.
28 May
Hotspot triggered due to the border clash between Thai and Cambodia troops resulting in the death of a Cambodian soldier
09 Jun
Hotspot triggered due to Thailand-Cambodia border crossing restrictions tightened for security, reports of simmering tension
12 Jun
Analysis report published about Cambodia's announcement of creating a high-level task force to manage the border dispute with Thailand
20 Jun
Analysis report about protests in Phnom Penh in support of the Cambodian government's actions in their border dispute with Thailand
22 Jun
The countries mutually closing their border checkpoint amid rising tensions detected as an accelerating story (EventsAI)
27 Jun
Outlook Analysis forecasted that tensions in the border area between the countries would remain elevated in July, and unlikely to de-escalate
28 Jun
PulseAI score drops due to protests in Bangkok demanding the Thai prime minister's resignation over leaked Cambodia call
30 Jun
Thousands protesting in Bangkok calling for the Thai PM to resign detected as an accelerating story (EventsAI)
30 Jun
Analysis report on the regional bloc's limits in managing the regional dispute and Cambodia discussing a legal strategy to present their case before the ICJ
5 Jul
Cambodia reaffirms stance on border dispute with Thailand after clashes detected as an accelerating story (EventsAI)
17Jul
Hotspot triggered due to Thai soldiers injured in landmine incidents in Cambodia; Thailand Army reaffirms control over Phu Ma Kuea amid Cambodian presence detected as an accelerating story (EventsAI)
18 Jul
Hotspot triggered due to the landmine and the military response on the Thai-Cambodian border; protesters urge UN action over landmines on the Thai border detected as an accelerating story (EventsAI); spike in the fear category of Thailand's EventsAI emotions analysis
19 Jul
Thai Army demands Cambodia show responsibility for encroaching on Thai land and planting landmines detected as an accelerating story (EventsAI)
23 Jul
Hotspot triggered due to border tensions and diplomatic downgrade leading to a drop in the country's PulseAI score and spike in the fear category of Thailand's EventsAI emotions analysis
24 Jul
Multiple Hotspots related to the escalating border clash between the countries, fighter jets deployed, civilians killed; significant drop in Thailand's PulseAI score outside the sixty-day average with a dramatic spike in the fear, anger, and sadness emotions
27 Jul
In the Phu Makhuea, Sao Thong Chai, Preah Vihear, Thai security forces carried out drone, artillery and infantry attacks, killing at least 12 Cambodian soldiers and injuring others.
28 Jul
Confirmed: Ceasefire declared between Thailand and Cambodia
26 Jul
The escalation of conflict includes air strikes (EventsAI)
Seerist Event Report
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Thailand-Cambodia Conflict
28 May – 28 July 2025
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