Supply Chain Trends and Insights

Tom Park

Robert Cantando

Kez Gneiting

National Supply Chain Manager

Vice President of Strategic Supply Chain

Director of Strategic Supply Chain

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The construction supply chain improved over the past three months as manufacturers increased capacity and some construction segments slowed. Rising interest rates and market uncertainty in certain geographical markets prevented some developer-led projects from moving forward, primarily privately funded commercial office and residential projects. However, lower demand in these segments is being replaced by stronger demand in others. The most challenging construction supply chain category continues to be electrical gear. To understand this demand, looking back at the top five vertical markets from 5–10 years ago compared to today is helpful. Previously, the top five vertical markets were Oil, Gas and Chemical, Healthcare, Multifamily Residential, Water and Wastewater, and Data Centers. Today, the top five vertical markets are Electric Vehicles, Healthcare, Multifamily Residential, Semiconductor Manufacturing, and Data Centers. One of these new markets, Electric Vehicles, barely existed ten years ago, and Data Centers have exploded far beyond what most could have imagined. This major shift began years ago but has been accelerated by the way we live and work post-COVID and by net zero carbon goals. These trends have one thing in common: demand for electrical gear. Data Center demand is the leading consumer of electrical gear capacity and shows no sign of slowing down. On the capacity side of the equation, the four major electrical gear manufacturers have doubled unit capacity after investing billions of dollars in new plants and equipment. However, demand is expected to grow and consume this new capacity as quickly as it is added. All major manufacturers forecast lead times greater than one year for the next several years, with price increases averaging 8-15 percent annually.

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Current Lead Time and Price Forecast

Appliances

Current Status:

6-12 Month Forecast:

Lead Time

Lead Time

Price

Price

Appliance prices have stabilized due to moderating demand from residential builders. Lead times vary by manufacturer and appliance type. However, lead times have greatly improved compared to a year ago. For planning purposes, continue to assume lead times in the one to three-month range.

Key

LT: Lead Time | $: Price

Lead times described are after fully approved submittals and factory accepted release

Stable/Consistent

Trending Down

Trending Up Significantly

Trending Up

Fluctuating

Status Key

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